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Alianza Universidad vs Sport Huancayo – Betting Analysis

Expert Overview: Alianza Universidad vs Sport Huancayo

The clash between Alianza Universidad and Sport Huancayo on May 12, 2025, at 20:30 is anticipated to be a tightly contested affair, with statistical indicators suggesting a moderate number of goals and a strong potential for defensive discipline. The predictive metrics hint at an edge for defensive solidity, especially in the second half, and imply a strategic battleground where clinical moments can decide the outcome. Historical averages of 2.50 total goals per game and a slightly higher rate of goals conceded (1.40) compared to goals scored (1.10) support a narrative of closely-fought encounters with narrow margins separating the sides.

Alianza Universidad

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Sport Huancayo

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Date: 2025-05-12
Time: 20:30
(FT)
Venue: Estadio Heraclio Tapia Leon
Score: 0-1

Predictions:

MarketPredictionOddResult
Home Team Not To Score In 2nd Half99.00%(0-1)
Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half80.00%(0-1)
Away Team To Score In 2nd Half80.00%(0-1)
Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half70.00%(0-1) 0-0 2H 1.33
Over 1.5 Goals70.00%(0-1) 1.29
Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half70.00%(0-1) 0-1 1H 1.18
Draw In First Half70.00%(0-1)
Both Teams To Score60.00%(0-1) 1.73
Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half60.00%(0-1)
Avg. Total Goals2.50%(0-1)
Avg. Conceded Goals1.40%(0-1)
Avg. Goals Scored1.10%(0-1)
Red Cards0.10%(0-1)

Betting Segment Insights

1. Goals Market

  • Over 1.5 Goals (70% Probability): This indicates a solid expectation for a minimum of two goals in the match, aligning well with the average goals-per-game metric (2.50). It represents value in the over market, while suggesting that a high-scoring result is less likely.
  • Both Teams To Score (60% Probability): There is a moderate likelihood that both teams will find the net. With team averages indicating more defensive tenacity than offensive firepower, bettors should consider this probability carefully—and look for value in other markets if odds are skewedly low.

2. Half-Time/Full-Time Markets

  • Draw In First Half (70% Probability): The match is expected to be balanced early on, fitting the profile of two compact, defensive-minded teams.
  • Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half (60% Probability): Alianza Universidad may struggle to break the deadlock before halftime, enhancing appeal for ‘Under 0.5 Home Team Goals in 1st Half’ wagers.
  • Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half (80% Probability): Sport Huancayo appear even less likely to score before the break, making a goalless first half an attractive market.
  • Home Team Not To Score In 2nd Half (99% Probability): There is a standout statistical forecast here: Alianza Universidad are extremely unlikely to score after half-time, indicating strong value for ‘Home Team Under 0.5 Goals in 2nd Half’ bets.
  • Away Team To Score In 2nd Half (80% Probability): Conversely, Sport Huancayo are expected to find attacking success late in the game, making them a strong option for ‘Away Team to Score in Second Half’ selections.
  • Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half (70% Probability): The data strongly favours a scenario where only one side scores—if at all—after the break. Defensive approaches may become more pronounced, leading to fewer scoring opportunities.
  • Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half (70% Probability): Reinforcing the expectation of a cagey opening period, the likelihood of neither side scoring before half-time is high.

3. Discipline Market

  • Red Cards (0.10 Avg Per Match): The average is well below one, signaling a clean contest with a low expectation for dismissals. Betting against a red card may hold value here.

Additional Expert Predictions

  • Correct Score Suggestion: The most likely outcomes, based on data, are a narrow away win (0-1) or a 0-0 draw, with odds tilted towards few goals and late away dominance.
  • Under 2.5 Goals: Given the average goals per game and the high likelihood of defensive solidity, under 2.5 goals is a plausible pick for risk-averse bettors.
  • Sport Huancayo (Draw No Bet): With Huancayo more likely to score in the second half and Alianza unlikely to score after HT, the away side holds a tactical upper hand in the latter stages of the game.
  • In-Play Tip: If the match remains goalless at HT, backing Sport Huancayo to score next (or win 2nd half) may offer strategic value, in line with predictive trends.
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