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APOEL Nicosia vs Pafos FC – Betting Analysis

Match Overview and Expert Insights

The upcoming fixture between APOEL Nicosia and Pafos FC (Date: 2025-05-12, Time: 16:00) presents a contest shaped by tightly contested results, robust defensive records, and closely matched offensive output. Both sides demonstrate resilience, as reflected in modest average goals scored (APOEL: 1.13) and conceded (1.25), while discipline also plays a part, with an average of 2.38 yellow cards and 0.25 red cards per match. The relatively low predicted totals across most categories point towards a tactical battle, though there remain strategic opportunities for bettors.

APOEL Nicosia

DLDWD
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Pafos FC

DWWWL
Date: 2025-05-12
Time: 16:00
(FT)
Venue: Not Available Yet
Score: 1-1

Predictions:

MarketPredictionOddResult
Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half99.00%(1-1)
Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half88.00%(1-1) 0-0 1H 1.18
Last Goal Minute 0-7288.00%(1-1)
Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half75.00%(1-1) 1-1 2H 1.30
Over 1.5 Goals75.00%(1-1) 1.30
Away Team Not To Score In 2nd Half75.00%(1-1)
Away Team To Score In 1st Half75.00%(1-1)
Under 5.5 Cards75.00%(1-1)
Home Team To Score In 2nd Half75.00%(1-1)
Both Teams To Score63.00%(1-1) 1.80
Over 4.5 Cards63.00%(1-1)
Sum of Goals 2 or 363.00%(1-1)
Yellow Cards2.38%(1-1)
Avg. Total Goals2.38%(1-1)
Avg. Conceded Goals1.25%(1-1)
Avg. Goals Scored1.13%(1-1)
Red Cards0.25%(1-1)

Main Betting Insights by Category

1. Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

  • No, 1st Half: Probabilities suggest a high chance for a scoreless first half by either team (Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half: 88.00).
  • No, 2nd Half: The likelihood is slightly reduced but still notable for the second half (Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half: 75.00).
  • Full Match: The BTTS “Yes” option sees less backing (Both Teams To Score: 63.00), indicating a preference for clean sheets being held by at least one side.

2. Goals Markets

  • Over/Under: The market expects a modest goal tally, with Over 1.5 Goals at 75.00 and Sum of Goals 2 or 3 also at 63.00, aligning perfectly with the average goals data (2.38 per match).
  • Goal Scoring Periods: There is strong consensus that the Last Goal Will Be Scored Before Minute 72 (probability: 88.00), suggesting late drama is unlikely.

3. Team-Specific Scorers

  • APOEL Nicosia:
    • Not to score in 1st half: 99.00 – Exceptionally high likelihood, indicating a slow start from the hosts.
    • To score in 2nd half: 75.00 – They may break the deadlock later.
  • Pafos FC:
    • Not to score in 2nd half: 75.00 – Away side’s goal threat diminishes after the break.
    • To score in 1st half: 75.00 – Initial threat but likely fade in the second period.

4. Cards & Discipline

  • Over 4.5 Cards: 63.00 – Potential for a competitive, physical match.
  • Under 5.5 Cards: 75.00 – Discipline is expected, major flare-ups deemed unlikely.
  • Average Cards: Yellow Cards: 2.38, Red Cards: 0.25

Additional Expert Predictions

  • Given APOEL’s tendency to struggle early but assert themselves after halftime, bettors may look for in-play opportunities favoring a stronger second-half showing by the hosts.
  • The high chance of Pafos scoring early but not after the break could point to first-half away goal markets.
  • With low red/yellow card averages, disciplinary betting strategies may focus on low-card outcomes, with only moderate potential for higher card totals.
  • Game tempo may slow down late, so consider “last goal before 72nd minute” as a strong market.
  • An overall prediction would be a 2-0 or 2-1 win for APOEL, with most action coming in the second half.
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