Expert Overview: Atalanta vs Roma – Match Analysis
In anticipation of the Serie A clash between Atalanta and Roma scheduled for May 12, 2025, at 18:45, the matchup promises tight defensive organization and measured attacking approaches. Both sides have displayed a relatively balanced record in terms of goals, with an average total goal output of 2.53 per match. Atalanta, typically strong at home, faces a Roma side keen on defensive resilience, indicated by their average goals conceded (1.12) compared to goals scored (1.41). Historically, encounters between these teams have produced moderate goals and few disciplinary issues, with an average of 1.79 yellow cards and only 0.03 red cards per game.
Atalanta
Roma
(FT)
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half | 74.00% | (2-1) 1-1 1H 1.22 | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half | 71.00% | (2-1) 1-0 2H 1.40 | |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68.00% | (2-1) 1.25 | |
| Under 5.5 Cards | 68.00% | (2-1) | |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65.00% | (2-1) 2.10 | |
| Draw In First Half | 59.00% | (2-1) | |
| Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half | 59.00% | (2-1) | |
| Away Team Not To Score In 2nd Half | 59.00% | (2-1) | |
| Home Team To Score In 2nd Half | 59.00% | (2-1) | |
| Both Teams To Score | 56.00% | (2-1) 1.65 | |
| Under 4.5 Cards | 53.00% | (2-1) | |
| Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half | 53.00% | (2-1) | |
| Avg. Total Goals | 2.53% | (2-1) | |
| Yellow Cards | 1.79% | (2-1) | |
| Avg. Goals Scored | 1.41% | (2-1) | |
| Avg. Conceded Goals | 1.12% | (2-1) | |
| Red Cards | 0.03% | (2-1) |
Betting Insights by Category
Goals Market Insights
- Over 1.5 Goals (68%): The probability of at least two goals is strong, reflecting both teams’ ability to contribute offensively when required. The average total goals of 2.53 further enhances the credibility of this market for value seekers.
- Under 2.5 Goals (65%): There is also a high chance for a match with fewer than three goals. This contrast suggests the bookmakers expect a tight scoreline but remain cautious given these teams’ sporadic goal surges.
- Both Teams To Score (56%): Marginally above half, this prediction reveals a real possibility for both Atalanta and Roma to find the net, though not overwhelmingly likely.
- Both Teams Not To Score in 1st Half (74%) & 2nd Half (71%): High probability that at least one side fails to score in both halves underscores the generally careful tactical setups in this fixture, especially in opening and closing phases of the match.
Team-Specific Scoring Markets
- Home Team To Score in 2nd Half (59%): Atalanta is slightly favored to find their stride after halftime, possibly capitalizing on a fatigued Roma defense.
- Away Team Not To Score in 1st Half (59%) & 2nd Half (59%): Roma may struggle to break down the Atalanta defense, particularly in both halves, hinting at the home team’s solidity and tactical discipline.
- Home Team Not To Score in 1st Half (53%): A cautious approach from both teams early on increases the chances of a goalless first half for Atalanta.
- Draw In First Half (59%): Suggests a balanced and cagey opening 45 minutes, reflecting both sides’ focus on defensive organization and risk-averse strategies at the start.
Card Markets
- Under 5.5 Cards (68%) & Under 4.5 Cards (53%): Matches between Atalanta and Roma are expected to be played in a controlled manner, with few disciplinary infractions predicted. The low average of yellow cards per game (1.79) supports this outlook. Red cards are extremely rare, at just 0.03 per fixture.
Expert Prediction & Betting Recommendations
- Likely Scenario: A tight, strategic matchup with neither side keen to overcommit, leading to either a narrow win or a draw.
- Key Bets: Focus on “Under 2.5 Goals”, “Both Teams Not To Score in 1st Half”, and “Under 5.5 Cards” for positions supported by both statistical and tactical trends.
- Potential Value: Markets like “Draw in First Half” or “Home Team To Score in 2nd Half” offer higher returns and align with the expected flow of the fixture.
Bettors should closely monitor pre-match team news for potential lineup changes, as late injuries or tactical rotations could heavily affect the outcomes discussed above.
