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Diyala SC vs Arbil – Betting Analysis

Match Overview: Diyala SC vs Arbil

The upcoming match between Diyala SC and Arbil on May 12, 2025, at 15:00 features two sides with contrasting profiles, particularly in their attacking output and defensive reliability. Statistical indicators reveal a slightly above-average goal involvement per game (2.81 average total goals), primarily driven by defensive lapses (1.72 average goals conceded) rather than attacking prowess (1.09 average goals scored). This points to a contest where both teams might emphasize caution, especially in the early stages, with a higher probability of defensive solidity in both halves.

Diyala SC

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Arbil

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Date: 2025-05-12
Time: 15:00
(FT)
Venue: Not Available Yet
Score: 1-0

Predictions:

MarketPredictionOddResult
Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half79.00%(1-0) 1-0 2H 1.25
Over 0.5 Goals HT73.00%(1-0) 0-0 1H 1.50
Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half73.00%(1-0) 0-0 1H 1.13
Over 1.5 Goals72.00%(1-0) 1.44
Home Team Not To Score In 2nd Half56.00%(1-0)
Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half56.00%(1-0)
Away Team To Score In 2nd Half53.00%(1-0)
Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half53.00%(1-0)
Over 2.5 Goals51.00%(1-0) 2.38
Both Teams Not to Score51.00%(1-0) 1.75
Avg. Total Goals2.81%(1-0)
Avg. Conceded Goals1.72%(1-0)
Avg. Goals Scored1.09%(1-0)

Goal Markets Analysis

  • Over/Under 0.5 Goals (First Half): There is a strong likelihood (73%) for at least one goal to be scored in the first half, indicating early action and potential vulnerability in either defense.
  • Over/Under 1.5 Goals (Full Match): The probability (72%) reinforces expectations for a match that stretches beyond one goal, in line with the statistical averages.
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: The 51% probability suggests market balance, with the over being only marginally more likely than the under, matching the overall modest scoring rates.

Team Scoring Segments

  • Both Teams To Score (BTTS): There is a split probability on BTTS for the full match (51%), but a high chance of either the first half (73%) or second half (79%) concluding with only one team finding the net. This reflects the teams’ struggles for consistent offensive output.
  • Home/Away Team Market:

    • Home team not to score in either the 1st or 2nd half rated at 56%, suggesting Diyala SC may struggle to record on the scoresheet in either period.
    • Away team (Arbil) has a 53% chance to score in the 2nd half, while their likelihood of being scoreless in the 1st half is equally rated (53%). This implies a pattern where Arbil grows into the match after halftime.

Defensive and Attacking Averages

  • Average Goals Scored: 1.09. Highlights general attacking inefficiency from both teams.
  • Average Conceded Goals: 1.72. Shows a considerable tendency to concede, supporting goal-oriented market plays, especially for multi-goal scenarios.

Expert Prediction & Insights

  • Expect a tactically cautious start, with the first goal (should it happen) likely arriving before halftime.
  • There is a high chance that at least one team fails to score in each half, supporting ‘Both Teams Not to Score’ selections for each segment.
  • While the over 2.5 goals is narrowly favored, the core value lies in backing unders or single-team scoring markets, particularly Diyala SC’s inconsistency in attack.
  • Look for Arbil to assert control in the second half, raising the probability of them scoring after the interval.
  • In-play bettors should watch for odds on under 2.5 goals to shorten if no early goals materialize, with alternative value in live “no goal” or “one-team to score” props for each half.
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