Expert Overview: Heart of Midlothian vs St. Johnstone
The upcoming Scottish Premiership fixture between Heart of Midlothian and St. Johnstone on 14th May 2025 at 18:45 presents a compelling contest featuring two sides with contrasting recent form and ambitions. Hearts, often strong at home and efficient defensively, face a St. Johnstone team typically focused on maintaining compact shape and minimizing risk. Given the recent trends and statistical context surrounding both teams, expectations tilt toward a tightly-contested, low-scoring game that is tactically disciplined.
Heart of Midlothian
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St. Johnstone
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Date: 2025-05-14
Time: 18:45
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Venue: Tynecastle Stadium
Score: 2-1
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63.00% | (2-1) 1.91 | |
| Both Teams Not to Score | 75.00% | (2-1) 2.00 | |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63.00% | (2-1) 1.29 |
Betting Segment Analysis
Under/Over Goals Markets
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Under 2.5 Goals – 63.00% probability:
Both sides have frequently been involved in matches with limited goalmouth action. St. Johnstone have prioritized defensive solidity, while Hearts’ measured approach at home further supports the under. Recent head-to-head meetings reinforce this trend, with neither team showing strong attacking intent in previous encounters. -
Over 1.5 Goals – 63.00% probability:
While a low output is predicted, the probability for at least two goals is identically rated to the Under 2.5 market. This suggests bookmakers and experts expect a 1-1 scoreline or a narrow win with two goals as a likely scenario—highly relevant for coverage bets.
Both Teams to Score
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Both Teams Not to Score – 75.00% probability:
The data strongly favors one or both teams failing to find the net. This aligns with the defensive setups typically seen from both camps and recent performance, especially St. Johnstone’s struggles to score on the road. In turn, the “No” selection here could provide good value in accumulator or single bets.
Correct Score & Result Markets
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Likeliest Correct Scores:
Given the trends in expected goals and defensive focus, 1-0 or 2-0 wins for Hearts, or a 1-1 draw, are the most plausible outcomes. Bettors targeting correct score or winning margin markets should focus on these possibilities. -
Match Winner/Draw:
Hearts’ home advantage and superior record give them the statistical edge, but the absence of prolific attacks decreases the likelihood of runaway victories, keeping a draw in play as well.
Additional Expert Predictions
- Hearts Clean Sheet: High likelihood; St. Johnstone’s attacking woe and away form suggest Hearts are well-placed to prevent conceding.
- Half Time/Full Time – Hearts/Hearts: If Hearts assert their home form early, there is value in the same side leading at both intervals.
- Total Corners Under 10.5: Historically, these sides generate fewer attacking opportunities, indicating a lower corner count.
