Expert Overview: Newell’s Old Boys (w) vs Vélez Sarsfield (w)
The upcoming fixture between Newell’s Old Boys (w) and Vélez Sarsfield (w), scheduled for 2025-05-13 at 18:00, presents a matchup between two defensively-oriented teams in the division. Both teams have showcased strong organization at the back, with Newell’s averaging 1.17 goals scored and only 0.83 conceded per match, contributing to a low average total of just 2.00 goals per game.
Newell's Old Boys (w)
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Vélez Sarsfield (w)
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Date: 2025-05-13
Time: 18:00
(FT)
(FT)
Venue: Not Available Yet
Score: 5-1
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half | 92.00% | (5-1) | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half | 92.00% | (5-1) | |
| Over 0.5 Goals HT | 75.00% | (5-1) 0-0 1H 1.29 | |
| Both Teams Not to Score | 75.00% | (5-1) 1.55 | |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 75.00% | (5-1) 2.20 | |
| Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half | 67.00% | (5-1) | |
| Away Team Not To Score In 2nd Half | 67.00% | (5-1) | |
| Home Team To Win | 58.00% | (5-1) 1.20 | |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 58.00% | (5-1) 1.20 | |
| Avg. Total Goals | 2.00% | (5-1) | |
| Avg. Goals Scored | 1.17% | (5-1) | |
| Avg. Conceded Goals | 0.83% | (5-1) |
Recent statistical models favor a closely contested game with limited scoring opportunities, especially in the first half. Bookmakers and predictive models point toward a tactical match where one or both teams might struggle to break through well-drilled defensive lines.
Betting Segments Analysis
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Markets
- Both Teams Not to Score (Entire Match): 75% probability. This reflects the strength of both defenses and the modest attacking output. There’s a high likelihood that at least one team will finish goalless.
- Both Teams Not to Score in 1st Half: 92% probability, and BTTS Not in 2nd Half: 92%. The probability sharply rises for half-time and second-half segments, underscoring a conservative approach and disciplined structures early and late in matches.
Total Goals Markets
- Under 2.5 Goals: 75% probability. Statistically, matches involving these teams are unlikely to produce high scorelines.
- Over 1.5 Goals: 58% probability. While goals are expected, a large goal fest is improbable.
- Avg. Total Goals: 2.00 per game further supports these outlooks.
Half-Specific Markets
- Over 0.5 Goals in 1st Half: 75% probability. Although general scoring is limited, there’s still a reasonable chance for at least one goal before halftime.
- Away Team Not to Score 1st Half & 2nd Half: 67% probability each. This highlights Newell’s resolute home defense and the visiting side’s challenges in breaking through.
Match Result Markets
- Home Team to Win: 58% probability. Newell’s Old Boys (w) are slight favorites, reflecting their defensive solidity and marginally better attacking efficiency.
Additional Expert Predictions and Insights
- Potential Game Dynamics: Expect a cautious opening period with both teams prioritizing structure over risk. A single goal could be decisive.
- Players to Watch: Midfield battles and defensive performance will be crucial, so expect key players in central roles to have a large impact on the match’s complexion.
- Scoreline Prediction: A 1-0 or 1-1 outcome is most likely, with Newell’s Old Boys (w) marginally more likely to edge proceedings.
- Alternative Markets to Explore: Under 1.5 total goals carries decent value for cautious bettors seeking higher odds, given both teams’ low-conceding profiles.
