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Real Sociedad vs Celta de Vigo – Betting Analysis

Expert Analysis: Real Sociedad vs Celta de Vigo

On May 13, 2025, Real Sociedad will host Celta de Vigo for a La Liga clash scheduled at 18:00. The statistical indicators suggest a low- to medium-scoring match, with a moderate likelihood of both teams being defensively organized. Real Sociedad, with an average of 1.21 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded per game, face a Celta side aiming to improve their away performance in a tight contest. Average total goals per match (2.73) hint at opportunities for attacking play, while discipline metrics (2.23 yellow cards/game, 0.06 red cards/game) indicate balanced but not overly aggressive encounters.

Real Sociedad

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Celta de Vigo

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Date: 2025-05-13
Time: 18:00
(FT)
Venue: Reale Arena
Score: 0-1

Predictions:

MarketPredictionOddResult
Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half76.00%(0-1) 0-1 1H 1.20
Over 1.5 Goals76.00%(0-1) 1.32
Away Team To Score In 2nd Half71.00%(0-1)
Over 0.5 Goals HT68.00%(0-1) 0-1 1H 1.44
Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half65.00%(0-1) 0-0 2H 1.36
Under 5.5 Cards62.00%(0-1) 4 cards 1.48
Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half59.00%(0-1)
Home Team Not To Score In 2nd Half59.00%(0-1)
Last Goal 73+ Minutes56.00%(0-1) 1.83
Over 2.5 Goals56.00%(0-1) 1.98
Over 4.5 Cards56.00%(0-1) 4 cards 1.78
Both Teams To Score53.00%(0-1) 1.73
First Goal Between Minute 0-2953.00%(0-1) 1.83
Sum of Goals 2 or 353.00%(0-1) 1.95
Goal In Last 15 Minutes53.00%(0-1)
Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half53.00%(0-1)
Avg. Total Goals2.73%(0-1)
Yellow Cards2.23%(0-1)
Avg. Conceded Goals1.53%(0-1)
Avg. Goals Scored1.21%(0-1)
Red Cards0.06%(0-1)

Market by Market Insights

Goals Markets

  • Over 1.5 Goals (76%): Very likely, supported by the teams’ average combined goals (2.73). The offensive capacity should cover this comfortably.
  • Over 2.5 Goals (56%): A fair possibility, but not overwhelming. Slightly over half of similar matches surpass this line.
  • Sum of Goals 2 or 3 (53%): Reflecting the league and team averages, bettors can expect this commonly occurring goal range.
  • Over 0.5 Goals HT (68%): Early goals are expected, making this a strong option for first-half goal markets.
  • First Goal Between Minute 0-29 (53%): Indicates a good chance of early action; fast starts often set the pace in matches between these sides.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Markets

  • Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half (76%): A strong expectation that at least one side will keep a clean sheet during the opening 45 minutes, often due to cautious starts.
  • Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half (65%): The tendency for defensive solidity or fading attacking efficiency after halftime is also high.
  • Both Teams To Score (53%): While possible, the probability is only slightly above even, suggesting that a shutout for one team is nearly as likely as BTTS.

Team-Specific Scoring Trends

  • Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half (59%): Real Sociedad could struggle to break down Celta initially, aligning with their modest scoring average.
  • Home Team Not To Score In 2nd Half (59%): Whether due to fatigue or defensive adaptation, the home side may find goals hard to come by late on.
  • Away Team To Score In 2nd Half (71%): Celta de Vigo have a strong probability of registering a second-half goal, particularly if the match is finely poised and spaces open up.
  • Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half (53%): Celta may adopt a measured approach early, making a goalless first half for them plausible.

Timing of Goals

  • Last Goal 73+ Minutes (56%): Late drama is moderately likely, with over half of matches featuring action in the closing stages.
  • Goal In Last 15 Minutes (53%): End-of-game risk-taking and substitutions frequently yield late strikes.

Cards and Discipline

  • Under 5.5 Cards (62%): Matches remain relatively clean, with most games falling below the six-card threshold.
  • Over 4.5 Cards (56%): There’s still a solid chance of seeing at least five cards, so markets between 4.5–5.5 cards are especially interesting for punters.
  • Yellow Cards (2.23) / Red Cards (0.06): The match is expected to remain controlled and disciplined, with only rare dismissals.

Additional Expert Predictions

  • Correct Score Prediction: 1-1 or 2-1 for Real Sociedad – Both teams are capable of scoring, but defenses should keep the total moderate.
  • First Goalscorer: Takefusa Kubo (Real Sociedad), as he often finds early opportunities and Celta have a tendency to concede before halftime.
  • Most Likely Period for Game-Defining Action: 60–75 minutes – As both sides open up, substitutions and tired legs could decide the outcome in this window.
  • Value Bet: Draw at halftime, Real Sociedad to win full time – Aligns with trends of low-scoring first halves and home advantage asserting itself later.
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