Real Valladolid vs Girona – Betting Analysis

Expert Overview: Real Valladolid vs Girona

The upcoming La Liga fixture between Real Valladolid and Girona, scheduled for May 13, 2025, at 17:00, presents intriguing statistical patterns for bettors and analysts. The data highlights a generally low-scoring trend, with average goals scored at just 0.73 and total goals at 2.41. Yellow and red card averages (2.67 and 0.09, respectively) also suggest a moderately disciplined match-up. These factors set the stage for targeted predictions, especially within goal and card segments.

1. Goals and Scoring Markets

• Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half — 97.00%
  Exceptionally high likelihood of at least one side failing to score by halftime; a strong indicator of cautious opening tactics or defensive resilience.
• Home Team (Valladolid) Not To Score In 1st Half — 82.00%
  Suggests Valladolid struggles to find early breakthroughs. This could influence bets on Girona’s defensive solidity in early periods.
• Away Team (Girona) Not To Score In 1st Half — 76.00%
  Both teams have early scoring difficulties; consider halftime “under” or “no goal” markets.
• Over 1.5 Goals — 74.00%
  Despite slow starts, the likelihood for at least two goals in the match is strong, indicating more open play in the second half.
• Sum of Goals 2 or 3 — 56.00% / Under 2.5 Goals — 53.00%
  Goals are expected, but the data leans towards a match not surpassing three goals—an attractive “under” or “exact goals” selection.
• Average Goals Scored & Conceded
  Valladolid’s average of 0.73 goals scored signals attacking struggles, while the 1.68 conceded exposes defensive vulnerabilities, particularly as the match progresses.

2. “Both Teams to Score” Segment

• Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half — 68.00%
  Expect another goalless half from either side; this shapes “both teams to score” (BTTS) bets, favoring the “No” selection.
• Both Teams Not To Score (Full Match) — 53.00%
  Reinforces the undercurrent of limited attacking overlap, amplifying appeal for “BTTS – No”.

3. Half-Time/Full-Time Markets

• Over 0.5 Goals HT — 65.00%
  While individual teams may struggle, the chance for any goal before halftime is significant. Consider “Goal Before 30” or Over 0.5 First Half goals.
• First Goal 30+ Minutes — 59.00%
  Late-opening goal expectation supports a wager on a scoreless first 30 minutes.
• Home Team Not To Score In 2nd Half — 59.00% / Away Team To Score In 2nd Half — 53.00%
  A story of the second half possibly favoring Girona as Valladolid’s offensive efficiency drops further.

4. Cards and Discipline

• Over 4.5 Cards — 65.00% / Under 5.5 Cards — 56.00%
  Expect a match with 4–5 bookings—ideally suiting “Over 3.5” or “Over 4.5 cards” props. The averages align with a competitive, but not overly aggressive, contest.
• Yellow Cards: 2.67; Red Cards: 0.09
  Relatively low likelihood for red cards, while yellow cards are in a common range for La Liga matches.

5. Time-Based Betting Markets

• Last Goal After 73 Minutes — 59.00% / Goal in Last 15 Minutes — 59.00%
  Consistent with trends for late drama; valuable in-play options for “Late Goal” or “Goal in Last 15 Minutes” markets.

Expert Predictions and Additional Insights

• Expect Girona to shade the second half, possibly seizing on Valladolid’s weaker offensive production.
• Value lies in “No” for both teams scoring, with halftime and full-time segments both favoring a goalless outcome for at least one side.
• Card markets should see heavy action given the likelihood for 4–5 bookings, but red cards are less likely.
• Second halves tend to decide the pace and outcome, pointing to potential in-play angles as fatigue and tactical shifts open up opportunities.
• Given defensive starts, look for trading opportunities on “0–0 First Half” or a late first goal, but expect more action after the break.