Match Overview: Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente, May 16, 2025
The upcoming fixture between Rio Ave and Gil Vicente presents a tightly matched contest, shaped by their recent form and historic trends in Portugal’s top flight. The teams show balanced yet modest scoring efficiency, a disciplined defensive approach, and low card counts. With average goals scored at 1.22 per team and a mean conceded of 1.56, the match leans towards strategic play rather than high offensive output. Card discipline is notable, with averages of only 2.19 yellow cards and 0.13 red cards, pointing to a controlled encounter with few disciplinary issues.
Rio Ave
DDWLL
-
Gil Vicente
DDLWW
Date: 2025-05-16
Time: 18:00
(FT)
(FT)
Venue: Estadio da Capital do Movel
Score: 1-1
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half | 84.00% | (1-1) 1-1 1H 1.22 | |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 81.00% | (1-1) 1.25 | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half | 72.00% | (1-1) 0-0 2H 1.40 | |
| Over 0.5 Goals HT | 72.00% | (1-1) 1-1 1H 1.40 | |
| Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half | 69.00% | (1-1) | |
| Home Team To Score In 1st Half | 63.00% | (1-1) | |
| Both Teams To Score | 59.00% | (1-1) 1.67 | |
| Under 5.5 Cards | 59.00% | (1-1) | |
| Home Team To Score In 2nd Half | 56.00% | (1-1) | |
| Away Team Not To Score In 2nd Half | 56.00% | (1-1) | |
| Last Goal 73+ Minutes | 53.00% | (1-1) 1.83 | |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53.00% | (1-1) 1.83 | |
| Under 4.5 Cards | 53.00% | (1-1) | |
| Avg. Total Goals | 2.79% | (1-1) | |
| Yellow Cards | 2.19% | (1-1) | |
| Avg. Conceded Goals | 1.56% | (1-1) | |
| Avg. Goals Scored | 1.22% | (1-1) | |
| Red Cards | 0.13% | (1-1) |
Betting Insights by Category
Goals Markets
-
Over 1.5 Goals (81% probability):
High likelihood of at least two goals, supported by the combined average of 2.79 goals per match. Both teams play an open, attacking style without excessive risk. -
Over 0.5 Goals HT (72% probability):
The expectation is for early action, making a first-half goal a highly probable event, with both teams preferring to establish tempo early. -
Over 2.5 Goals (53% probability):
Slightly above even odds of seeing three or more goals, suggesting potential for extra excitement if defensive lines break. -
Avg. Total Goals: 2.79
Reinforces expectation of an open game with scoring opportunities.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Markets
-
Both Teams Not To Score in 1st Half (84% probability):
Strong suggestion for low first-half variance. Defenses are likely to dominate, and any breakthrough will probably come later. Suitable for risk-averse wagers. -
Both Teams Not To Score in 2nd Half (72% probability):
Odds also favor a shutout for at least one side during the second half, indicating possible tactical adjustments or fatigue playing a role. -
Both Teams To Score (59% probability):
A moderate likelihood for both teams to get on the scoresheet, higher than league average, but not overwhelming given these teams’ style.
Team Performance Markets
-
Home Team to Score in 1st Half (63% probability):
Rio Ave is favored to start aggressively, possibly taking advantage of home support. -
Home Team to Score in 2nd Half (56% probability):
Indicates sustained threat from Rio Ave through the course of the match. -
Away Team Not to Score in 1st Half (69% probability):
Suggests Gil Vicente may struggle to break down Rio Ave early. -
Away Team Not to Score in 2nd Half (56% probability):
Continues the trend; the visitors could have overall difficulties unlocking the Rio Ave defense.
Disciplinary/Card Markets
-
Under 5.5 Cards (59% probability):
A calm, composed contest is expected with low disciplinary risk and few bookings overall. -
Under 4.5 Cards (53% probability):
Reinforces the idea of a match less likely to be marred by stop/start play from excessive fouling. -
Yellow Cards Average: 2.19, Red Cards: 0.13
Historic data points to a fair contest, good for bettors seeking lower-card count markets.
Special Timings
-
Last Goal 73+ Minutes (53% probability):
Over half the time, a late goal can be expected, increasing drama and potential for in-play betting value.
Expert Predictions & Summary
- The most consistent bets center on low first-half scoring and low card totals.
- Rio Ave is marginally favored to score in both halves, with Gil Vicente most dangerous after halftime if they find rhythm.
- The match ticks many boxes for a disciplined, low-scoring affair, but with enough goal expectation to modestly favor over 1.5 goals markets and some last-minute drama.
- Defensive bettors should consider “Away Not to Score in 1st Half”; more aggressive bets may look to “Over 1.5 Goals” and “Last Goal 73+ Minutes.”
Expect Rio Ave to edge possession and create better chances, but a draw or a narrow margin win (likely 1-0 or 2-1) feels most likely given the data trends and probability segments.
