Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati – Betting Analysis

Expert Overview: Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati

The upcoming Major League Soccer match between Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati is set to unfold on May 14, 2025, at 23:30. Recent statistics and betting market odds convey a conservative match outlook, dominated by limited goal-scoring prospects and controlled discipline. With average total goals per match at 2.08 and both teams historically netting fewer goals, defensive solidity is expected on both sides. Disciplinary trends point to a match unlikely to feature many bookings, while historical data highlights a tendency toward clean sheets and goalless halves.

Performance Metrics Overview

• Avg. Total Goals: 2.08
• Avg. Goals Scored: 0.83
• Avg. Conceded Goals: 1.25
• Yellow Cards: 1.17 per match

Betting Segment Analysis

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Bets

• Both Teams Not To Score in 2nd Half: 83% probability
  Both teams have shown tendencies to become more defensively disciplined in the latter part, and a low-scoring second half is likely.
• Both Teams Not To Score in 1st Half: 75% probability
  Goalless first halves appear frequently, reflecting each team’s slow starts and focus on control in early stages.
• Both Teams Not to Score (Full Match): 67% probability
  The expectation is that at least one side will fail to find the net, emphasizing defensive strengths or offensive limitations.

Goals Markets

• Under 2.5 Goals: 67% probability
  With the average total goals per match at 2.08, there is a statistically strong chance this fixture stays under this line.
• Over 1.5 Goals: 58% probability
  While a low-scoring tie is anticipated, there remains a modest chance of at least two goals being scored.
• Over 0.5 Goals at HT: 58% probability
  Just over half of similar matches see at least one goal in the first half, though goalless intervals are not uncommon.
• Last Goal Minute 0-72: 58% probability
  Late goals are less frequently occurring, suggesting both teams may adopt risk-averse strategies as the match progresses.

Team-Specific Goal Bets

• Home Team Not To Score in 1st Half: 83% probability
  Toronto FC’s first half output is among the league’s lowest, a trend expected to continue here.
• Home Team Not To Score in 2nd Half: 83% probability
  Consistent with overall attacking struggles, Toronto is unlikely to break through FC Cincinnati’s defensive lines after halftime.

Card Markets

• Under 5.5 Cards: 83% probability
  Disciplinary data suggests a clean match, with the average yellow cards figure (1.17) well below this threshold.
• Under 4.5 Cards: 67% probability
  A strong expectation for few bookings, favoring low card totals due to the refereeing style and player profiles.

Additional Expert Predictions

• Clean Sheet Potential:
  FC Cincinnati are favorites to keep a clean sheet, particularly in the second half, leveraging their defensive organization and Toronto’s attacking concerns.
• Strategic Outlook:
  The match is likely to follow a pattern of early caution and minimal risk-taking, with both teams prioritizing structure over adventurous play. This aligns strongly with under bets across goals and cards.
• Risk Factors:
  Toronto FC’s home advantage may inspire short periods of pressing, but the overall lack of offensive firepower is expected to limit their threat, especially in both halves.