Valmieras vs SK Cesis – Betting Analysis

1X2 (Match Winner)

Expectation: Valmieras Win

• Valmieras: Unbeaten at home in the last 7 league games, currently averaging 2.1 goals per match.
• SK Cesis: Conceded in all away fixtures this season; winless in their last 5 matches.
• Expert Pick: Valmieras (1) is a strong favorite. Draw provides long odds, but not advised based on form. Away win outcome is highly improbable.

Asian Handicap

• Suggested Lines: Valmieras -1.5 or -2.0
• Given the attacking superiority of Valmieras and the defensive frailty of SK Cesis, a multi-goal margin is realistic.
• Valmieras has covered a -1.5 handicap in 4 of their last 6 home games against lower-ranked teams.

Totals (Over/Under Goals)

• Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals
• Valmieras matches this season see 3.2 goals on average.
• SK Cesis are conceding nearly 2.5 goals per away fixture.
• Over 3.5 could offer additional value, given the attacking vs defensive disparities.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

• BTTS – No is favored, as SK Cesis have scored in just 25% of their away games.
• Valmieras’ home clean sheet rate is 50%, further supporting “No” as the higher-value selection.
• BTTS – Yes: Riskier but possible if Cesis scores via set-pieces; limited underlying data to support.

Correct Score

• Statistical models highlight 2-0 and 3-0 to Valmieras as leading predicted scorelines.
• SK Cesis unlikely to net more than once given current form and squad quality.

Half-Time Bets

• Valmieras Leading at Half-Time is likely; the team has scored first in 70% of home matches this season.
• HT/FT: Valmieras/Valmieras is a logical combination bet for improved odds with relatively low risk.