Willem II vs PEC Zwolle – Betting Analysis

Match Overview: Willem II vs PEC Zwolle

The upcoming fixture between Willem II and PEC Zwolle on 2025-05-14 promises a strategic battle, with both teams showing contrasting performances over the season. Statistical indicators highlight an average of 2.85 total goals per match, suggesting an open contest, albeit with moderate scoring. Willem II appears slightly stronger on defense, conceding fewer goals, while both sides exhibit disciplined play, reflected in the low average number of cards per match. This context creates varying value and risk across different betting segments.

Goals Market Insight

• Over 1.5 Goals (84%): High probability signals an attacking game, supported by the average of 2.85 total goals per match. Bettors can expect at least two goals in this fixture.
• Under 2.5 Goals (51%): Probability around evens, suggesting possible value on both sides. Defensive patterns may emerge, but attacking statistics still slightly outweigh.
• Over 0.5 Goals First Half (72%): There’s a strong chance for early action, reinforcing the idea of at least one first-half goal.
• First Goal Between Minute 0-29 (59%): Early scoring opportunities likely, backing fast starts by both squads.
• Last Goal Between Minute 0-72 (56%): Most goals are expected before the final 20 minutes.

Team to Score Markets

• Both Teams To Score (56%): Slightly above average, indicating both sides are likely to find the net at least once.
• Home Team To Score in 2nd Half (56%): Willem II’s likelihood to net after halftime is moderate, reflecting tactical adjustments.
• Away Team Not To Score in 2nd Half (81%): High confidence that PEC Zwolle may struggle offensively after the interval.
• Away Team Not To Score in 1st Half (56%): First half defensive focus by Willem II could shut out PEC Zwolle early.
• Home Team Not To Score in 1st Half (69%): Willem II’s attacking impetus early on is relatively limited, underlining possible defensive postures.
• Both Teams Not To Score in 1st Half (88%): A defensive first half is highly probable, pointing to tactical setups limiting breakthroughs.
• Both Teams Not To Score in 2nd Half (75%): Strong indication that goals may not flow after the interval, hinting at defensive adjustments.

Cards and Discipline

• Under 5.5 Cards (97%): Extremely high confidence for a disciplined match — low card counts expected.
• Under 4.5 Cards (81%): Further supports the prediction of few disciplinary issues.
• Yellow Cards Average (1.47): Well below league average, denoting good discipline.
• Red Cards Average (0.06): Very rare, unlikely to play a significant role in this match.

Additional Expert Predictions

• Willem II’s defensive organisation and second-half resilience make them a strong pick for “No Goal Conceded in 2nd Half.” Tactical discipline could frustrate PEC Zwolle after the break.
• PEC Zwolle’s limited first-half attacking threat combined with low card averages means bettors should consider both defensive and discipline-focused markets.
• The early part of the match is likely to see more open play, but significant breakthroughs may only occur after the opening thirty minutes, indicating potential value in ‘First Goal Between Minutes 0-29’.
• Go for “Both Teams Not To Score in Second Half” — expect tightened defenses and low-risk approaches as the game progresses.