Venezia vs Fiorentina – Betting Analysis

Expert Overview: Venezia vs Fiorentina, 2025-05-12, 16:30

The upcoming match between Venezia and Fiorentina is set against a statistical backdrop that forecasts a tightly contested game, with low scoring and disciplined defensive performances from both sides. The average total goals for matches involving these teams sits at 2.17, suggesting that clear-cut chances may be at a premium. Discipline is another noteworthy factor: with an average of just 2.15 yellow cards per game and a negligible red card average (0.03), this fixture is unlikely to devolve into a stop-start affair. Given the statistical outlook and recent form, bettors can expect measured tactics, with scoring opportunities arriving through calculated build-up rather than open play.

Goals Market

• Under 2.5 Goals (62% probability):
  The combined scoring averages (Avg. Goals Scored 1.08, Avg. Conceded 1.09) reinforce the view that goals will be limited, making the under 2.5 goals market a strong consideration.
• Over 1.5 Goals (59% probability):
  Despite a generally low-scoring trend, the chance for at least two goals occurring is still notable, likely reflecting the potential for tactical changes in the latter stages.
• Over 0.5 Goals First Half (65% probability):
  Early breakthroughs are well-backed, indicating both teams may look to capitalize on initial momentum rather than sit deep.
• First Goal Between Minute 0-29 (53% probability):
  This aligns with the anticipation of an active opening phase, where the attacking lines probe for weaknesses early on.
• Last Goal Minute 0-72 (59% probability):
  Late drama appears less likely; decisive goals are expected well before stoppage time.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) & Team-Specific Scoring

• Both Teams Not To Score in 2nd Half (85% probability):
  This extremely high percentage suggests that one or both teams will shut down offensively after halftime, possibly due to defensive adjustments.
• Both Teams Not To Score in 1st Half (76% probability):
  Points to a cautious first half, where defensive organization supersedes attacking risk.
• Both Teams Not To Score—Full Game (56% probability):
  Slightly above even odds, emphasizing that at least one club will likely have a goalless match.
• Home Team Not To Score 1st Half (65%) & 2nd Half (71%):
  Venezia’s chances of being shut out in both halves are considerable, indicating major challenges in breaching Fiorentina’s defense.
• Away Team To Score 1st Half (53%):
  Fiorentina’s away prowess could see them break the deadlock early, further compounding Venezia’s attacking woes.
• Away Team Not To Score 2nd Half (53%):
  Expect Fiorentina to potentially ease off or face increased defensive resistance after the break.

Cards & Discipline

• Under 5.5 Cards (71% probability):
  The low yellow card average solidifies this as an attractive market for those seeking action beyond goals.
• Over 4.5 Cards (53% probability):
  This outcome remains in play, suggesting that while a card fest is unlikely, the high stakes could drive occasional tactical fouls.

Additional Expert Predictions

With both sides emphasizing structure and defense, the likeliest scenario sees Fiorentina leveraging their superior organization and road form for an edge—especially in the opening 45 minutes. Venezia may struggle to break through a well-drilled Fiorentina backline, and the hosts are at risk of being shut out in at least one half. Expect the game’s rhythm to remain measured, with few bookings and scoring moments coming from set pieces or early surges rather than open-play chaos.

Predicted full-time score: Venezia 0–1 Fiorentina.
Top betting insights: Under 2.5 Goals, Both Teams Not to Score, Under 5.5 Cards.