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Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets Razgrad – Betting Analysis

Expert Overview: Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets Razgrad

The fixture between Cherno More Varna and Ludogorets Razgrad on May 13, 2025, promises a tightly contested encounter shaped by both teams’ consistent league performance. Ludogorets, traditionally the favorite in head-to-head clashes, face a Cherno More side that has proven durable at home, often restricting their rivals’ goal output. The data underscores a high likelihood of goals, but with an undercurrent of defensive discipline, reflected by strong probabilities in both BTTS and under 2.5 goal markets. This complexity presents a range of betting opportunities for discerning punters.

Cherno More Varna

WLDLL
-

Ludogorets Razgrad

LDDWW
Date: 2025-05-13
Time: 14:45
(FT)
Venue: Ticha Stadium
Score: 2-0

Predictions:

MarketPredictionOddResult
Over 1.5 Goals88.00%(2-0) 1.48
Under 2.5 Goals88.00%(2-0) 1.80
Both Teams To Score75.00%(2-0) 2.10
Under 2.5 BTTS63.00%(2-0) 6.00
Draw In Final Result63.00%(2-0)

Betting Insights by Segment

Over/Under Goals Markets

  • Over 1.5 Goals: Probability at 88% signals a strong expectation of at least two goals scored during the match. This aligns with both teams’ attacking capabilities, but bettors should note that most recent fixtures have seen a controlled tempo.
  • Under 2.5 Goals: At 88%, this is unusually high given the over 1.5 probability, suggesting a projected scoreline likely to end at 1-1 or 2-0. Expect midfield battles and risk management from both teams, keeping overall goals in check.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

  • BTTS: A 75% probability indicates a strong chance that both Cherno More and Ludogorets will find the net, but not necessarily in a high-scoring game—likely supporting a 1-1 or 2-1 type of result.
  • Under 2.5 BTTS: The 63% shows value in games where both score but goal count remains low, a nuanced angle for advanced bettors correlating with recent defensive solidity from both sides.

Final Result & Draw Market

  • Draw in Final Result: With a 63% probability, the data leans toward equilibrium between the teams. Market signals back a stalemate, likely 1-1, combining the above probabilities from the over/under and BTTS markets.

Additional Expert Predictions

  • Half Time/Full Time: A level-half result is probable, with both teams emphasizing caution in the opening 45 minutes.
  • Correct Score:

    The most statistically supported outcomes: 1-1 or 2-0 in favor of Ludogorets based on the goal expectations and BTTS probabilities.

  • Player to Watch: Ludogorets’ leading scorer and Cherno More’s dynamic midfield presence may influence narrow margins—consider player prop bets for shots on target rather than goals.
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