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Penafiel vs Chaves – Betting Analysis

General Expert Overview: Penafiel vs Chaves (2025-05-15, 17:45)

The upcoming fixture between Penafiel and Chaves is shaping up as a tightly contested encounter, framed by their historical averages and specific betting trends. With the average total goals per match at 2.47 and both sides posting almost identical figures for goals scored (1.31) and conceded (1.16), this match promises a balanced contest with moderate attacking output. Discipline seems consistent as well, indicated by the low red card average (0.13). These metrics present a compelling narrative for those considering various betting options, suggesting a match with moments of both defensive solidity and attacking intent, though not necessarily a goal fest.

Penafiel

DDLLL
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Chaves

DLLLW
Date: 2025-05-15
Time: 17:45
(FT)
Venue: Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril
Score: 0-0

Predictions:

MarketPredictionOddResult
Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half88.00%(0-0) 0-0 2H 1.33
Over 0.5 Goals HT75.00%(0-0) 0-0 1H 1.36
Over 1.5 Goals75.00%(0-0) 1.29
Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half69.00%(0-0) 0-0 1H 1.20
Home Team To Score In 1st Half69.00%(0-0)
Home Team Not To Score In 2nd Half69.00%(0-0)
Both Teams To Score63.00%(0-0) 1.73
Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half63.00%(0-0)
First Goal Between Minute 0-2963.00%(0-0) 1.83
Sum of Goals 2 or 359.00%(0-0) 1.95
Away Team To Score In 2nd Half56.00%(0-0)
Avg. Total Goals2.47%(0-0)
Avg. Goals Scored1.31%(0-0)
Avg. Conceded Goals1.16%(0-0)
Red Cards0.13%(0-0)

Betting Segment Insights

Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half (88.00)

With a notably high probability, this suggests strong defensive efforts or cautious approaches in the latter period. If either side gains an advantage in the first half, look for game management and limited risks late on.

Over 0.5 Goals at Half-Time (75.00)

There is a strong chance the deadlock will be broken before the break. Considering both averaged over one goal scored per match, early breakthroughs are likely, possibly shaped by high tempo starts.

Over 1.5 Goals (75.00)

The likelihood of a game with at least two goals is significant, aligning with the season’s averages. Both teams are expected to create – and possibly finish – multiple chances.

Both Teams Not To Score in 1st Half (69.00)

Despite the chances for an early goal, the odds show relatively high confidence that at least one team will fail to score in the opening period. This may reflect disciplined team shapes and focus on not conceding early.

Home Team To Score in 1st Half (69.00)

Penafiel are tipped to have attacking impetus at home early on. Their competitive attack rates in opening 45 minutes back this trend, making this a notable angle for bettors.

Home Team Not To Score in 2nd Half (69.00)

Despite early attacking potential, Penafiel’s second-half output could dip—whether through Chaves’ adjustments or Penafiel’s more defensive stance after the break.

Both Teams To Score (63.00)

This market is slightly less favored, indicating an expectation for at least one clean sheet, but still plausible given the offensive profiles. The close average of goals scored and conceded supports a scenario with both teams threatening.

Away Team Not To Score in 1st Half (63.00)

There’s a notable probability Chaves may fail to make an impact before the break. A cautious start away from home, possibly focused on soaking up early pressure, is implied by these odds.

First Goal Between Minutes 0-29 (63.00)

Early action is likely, so bettors could target early goal markets. Both teams appear capable of starting with intensity and directness, increasing the prospects of an opening goal before half an hour.

Sum of Goals 2 or 3 (59.00)

The match is tipped to produce a moderate goal count, consistent with the average total goals. Expect a game that avoids high-scoring extremes but avoids being totally cagey.

Away Team To Score In 2nd Half (56.00)

Chaves are more likely to find their footing and attack after halftime. Look for tactical changes or chasing a result to prompt away goals in the latter period.

Additional Expert Predictions

  • Likely outcome: Draw or marginal home win, with a low-scoring margin (1-1 or 2-1).
  • First Half Value: Markets involving an early goal or Penafiel scoring are attractive given both historical performance and the high probabilities noted.
  • Second Half Focus: Look for “No Both Teams to Score” and Chaves to strike late over Penafiel’s early ambitions.
  • Margin of Victory: Expect a goal difference of one, given the statistical similarities and defensive consciousness from both sides.
  • Red Card Likelihood: Very low, so avoid cards-based prop bets for outsized returns.
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