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Deportivo Merlo vs Villa San Carlos – Betting Analysis

The upcoming clash between Deportivo Merlo and Villa San Carlos is set to be a compelling fixture in the Argentine Primera B Metropolitana. Both teams are currently striving for promotion, with Deportivo Merlo showing a steady performance recently, though they have had a few setbacks due to injuries. Villa San Carlos, on the other hand, has been inconsistent, with some impressive victories but also a few unexpected losses. Key players for Deportivo Merlo are dealing with minor injuries, which might affect their performance, while Villa San Carlos has a full squad to choose from. Tactically, Deportivo Merlo favors a balanced approach, focusing on solid defense and quick counter-attacks. Villa San Carlos tends to adopt an aggressive style, often pushing forward in search of goals. Given these factors, the match is expected to have a moderate tempo with both teams looking to capitalize on set-pieces and defensive lapses.


The match is scheduled at 21:00, providing ample time for pre-match preparations and strategic planning. With both teams having much at stake, expect a tightly contested game where defensive strategies might dominate over offensive flair.

Match Result (1X2)

Data Signals

Recent form indicates that Deportivo Merlo has been more consistent in their performances compared to Villa San Carlos. The home advantage could play a significant role in swaying the outcome in favor of Deportivo Merlo. Historically, matches between these two have been low-scoring affairs.

Risk Factors

The key risk for Deportivo Merlo lies in their injury-prone squad, which could hinder their ability to maintain intensity throughout the match. For Villa San Carlos, their inconsistency poses a threat, as they might struggle to capitalize on any defensive errors made by Deportivo Merlo.

Recommended Picks

Considering the odds and recent performances, backing Deportivo Merlo seems like a prudent choice. The likelihood of a low-scoring game further supports this prediction.

Draw No Bet

Data Signals

The draw no bet market reflects the uncertainty surrounding this fixture. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities that could lead to a stalemate, especially given the defensive strategies likely to be employed.

Risk Factors

A potential risk here is the unpredictability of Villa San Carlos’ attacking prowess, which could disrupt any draw predictions if they find an early goal.

Recommended Picks

Given the balanced nature of this match and the odds presented, opting for a draw no bet might mitigate risks associated with an outright result prediction.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Data Signals

Historical data suggests that both teams have had difficulty scoring against each other’s defenses in recent encounters. The odds reflect this trend, indicating skepticism towards a BTTS outcome.

Risk Factors

The primary risk is underestimating Villa San Carlos’ ability to breach Deportivo Merlo’s defense, especially if they manage to exploit any weaknesses arising from injuries.

Recommended Picks

Given the low probability of both teams scoring and the defensive setup expected from both sides, it is advisable to avoid betting on BTTS for this match.

Total Goals (Over/Under)

Data Signals

The average total goals expected is 1.50, aligning with the trend of low-scoring games between these two teams. This suggests that betting on ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ could be a safe option.

Risk Factors

The main risk involves potential changes in tactics or unexpected player performances that could lead to more goals than anticipated.

Recommended Picks

With the odds favoring ‘Under 2.5 Goals,’ this remains the most logical choice given the historical data and current team conditions.

Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half (BTTS 1H)

Data Signals

The odds for ‘Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half’ are particularly high at 92.40, reflecting expectations of a cautious start by both sides as they assess each other’s form and tactics.

Risk Factors

A sudden aggressive start by either team could upset this prediction, particularly if Villa San Carlos opts for an early attacking approach to unsettle Deportivo Merlo.

Recommended Picks

Given the strong odds and historical context, betting on ‘Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half’ appears to be a sound decision.

Average Total Goals & Conceded Goals Analysis

With an average of 1.50 total goals expected and Deportivo Merlo conceding around 1.21 goals per match recently, the defensive aspects will be crucial in determining the outcome. Villa San Carlos averages 1.09 goals scored per game, indicating potential challenges in breaking down a resilient home defense.

This structured analysis provides insights into various betting segments based on available data and predictions for the Deportivo Merlo vs Villa San Carlos match.

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