Expert Overview of Almere City vs Fortuna Sittard
The upcoming Eredivisie fixture between Almere City and Fortuna Sittard on May 14, 2025, at 18:00 presents an intriguing matchup towards the season’s climax. Statistical data suggests a moderate goalscoring average (2.97 per game), but with remarkably low averages in both goals scored (0.97) and cards shown (1.78 yellow, 0.13 red). Disciplinary actions are not expected to be a decisive factor, and both sides have struggled for attacking consistency throughout the season. The nature of the odds indicates competitive tension but leans towards a low-scoring, tactically constrained contest.
Almere City
DLDLL
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Fortuna Sittard
DWLWL
Date: 2025-05-14
Time: 18:00
(FT)
(FT)
Venue: Yanmar Stadion
Score: 1-1
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 Cards | 91.00% | (1-1) 2 cards 1.15 | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half | 84.00% | (1-1) 1-0 1H 1.20 | |
| Under 4.5 Cards | 81.00% | (1-1) 2 cards 1.36 | |
| Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half | 81.00% | (1-1) | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half | 78.00% | (1-1) 0-1 2H 1.36 | |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72.00% | (1-1) 1.25 | |
| Over 0.5 Goals HT | 66.00% | (1-1) 1-0 1H 1.33 | |
| Away Team Not To Score In 2nd Half | 63.00% | (1-1) | |
| Home Team Not To Score In 2nd Half | 63.00% | (1-1) | |
| First Goal Between Minute 0-29 | 56.00% | (1-1) 14' min 1.83 | |
| Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half | 56.00% | (1-1) | |
| Last Goal 73+ Minutes | 56.00% | (1-1) 79' min 1.83 | |
| Both Teams To Score | 53.00% | (1-1) 1.67 | |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52.00% | 2.10 | |
| Goal In Last 15 Minutes | 53.00% | (1-1) | |
| Avg. Total Goals | 2.97% | (1-1) | |
| Avg. Conceded Goals | 2.00% | (1-1) | |
| Yellow Cards | 1.78% | (1-1) | |
| Avg. Goals Scored | 0.97% | (1-1) | |
| Red Cards | 0.13% | (1-1) |
Betting Segment Analysis
Total Goals Markets
- Over 1.5 Goals (72% probability): With an average of 2.97 goals per match, over 1.5 goals appears probable. Both teams’ defensive inconsistencies could allow for at least two goals in the game.
- Over 0.5 Goals HT (66% probability): There’s a strong chance of at least one goal in the first half, though the low average of goals scored (0.97) cautions against expecting a quick offensive explosion.
- Under 2.5 Goals (52% probability): The odds are finely balanced. While the per-game goal average is just above the line, the recent form and average goals for each team support the potential for a tighter match.
- Goal In Last 15 Minutes (53% probability): This market edges just over 50%, reflecting late-game shifts as sides chase points in the season run-in.
- First Goal Between Minute 0-29 (56% probability): Suggests a possibility for an early breakthrough, likely due to both teams’ tendency to concede early under pressure.
- Last Goal 73+ Minutes (56% probability): Supports scenarios where substitutions or increased urgency late on affect the scoreline.
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Markets
- Both Teams To Score (53% probability): The moderate probability indicates no clear offensive edge but enough defensive lapses to keep both sides in contention for a goal.
- Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half (84% probability): Indicates a strong likelihood of a goalless first half for at least one team, in line with the low goalscoring average.
- Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half (78% probability): Suggests a similar dynamic after halftime, emphasizing low scoring and defensive approaches late in matches.
Team-Specific Goal Markets
- Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half (81% probability): Almere City’s struggles in front of goal make a home first-half blank highly probable.
- Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half (56% probability): Fortuna Sittard is more likely to score early than the hosts but still face tough odds.
- Home Team Not To Score In 2nd Half (63% probability): Reinforces Almere’s attacking challenges over the full 90 minutes.
- Away Team Not To Score In 2nd Half (63% probability): Fortuna may also find scoring difficult, especially as defenses tighten.
Card Markets
- Under 5.5 Cards (91% probability): An extremely high likelihood, supported by both teams’ low yellow and red card averages.
- Under 4.5 Cards (81% probability): Disciplinary proceedings are forecasted to be minimal, with both teams disciplined in their approach.
Additional Expert Predictions
- Expect a cautious tactical battle, likely to result in a draw or a narrow win for either side. Given both teams’ scoring issues, 0-0 or 1-1 are plausible outcomes.
- Almere City may struggle to find offensive breakthroughs, especially in the first half. Set pieces and late-game situations present the best chance for either side to edge the contest.
- Betting value lies with under 2.5 goals, under 5.5 cards, and backing a slow start (few or no goals in the opening half).
- Risk-taking punters could consider markets such as “last goal after the 73rd minute” or “goal in the last 15 minutes,” as late drama is statistically likely.
