Home » Football » Burgos CF vs Real Valladolid – Betting Analysis

Burgos CF vs Real Valladolid – Betting Analysis

The upcoming match between Burgos CF and Real Valladolid presents an intriguing clash, with both teams seeking crucial points in their respective leagues. Burgos CF has shown resilience at home, while Real Valladolid’s away performances have been inconsistent. Injuries and suspensions play a minor role here, with both teams operating at full strength. Tactically, Burgos CF might employ a compact defense to exploit Real Valladolid’s occasional lapses in concentration, while Valladolid could focus on quick counter-attacks. The expected tempo suggests a balanced game, with potential for bursts of high intensity.

Burgos CF

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Real Valladolid

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Date: 2025-10-12
Time: 16:30
(FT)
Venue: Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
Score: 0-1

Predictions:

MarketPredictionOddResult
Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half89.40%(0-1) 0-0 1H 1.12
Over 1.5 Goals72.80%(0-1) 1.52
Under 2.5 Goals75.50%(0-1) 1.50
Home Team To Score In 2nd Half72.10%(0-1)
Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half67.40%(0-1)
Away Team Not To Score In 2nd Half67.90%(0-1)
Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half61.00%(0-1) 0-1 2H 1.22
Sum of Goals 2 or 358.10%(0-1) 2.00
Yellow Cards2.99%(0-1)
Avg. Total Goals2.81%(0-1)
Avg. Goals Scored1.93%(0-1)
Avg. Conceded Goals1.38%(0-1)

Match Result (1X2)

Data Signals

Recent form indicates that Burgos CF has been more reliable at home, winning two of their last three home matches. Conversely, Real Valladolid has struggled away from home, losing four of their last five matches on the road. The head-to-head record is evenly split over the last five encounters.

Risk Factors

A key risk factor is Real Valladolid’s tendency to concede goals early in matches when playing away, which could influence the betting outcome. Additionally, the home team’s defensive solidity may mitigate this risk.

Recommended Picks

Given Burgos CF’s strong home form and Real Valladolid’s away struggles, backing Burgos CF to win or draw could be a prudent choice.

Draw No Bet

Data Signals

The probability of a draw is relatively low given the recent form of both teams and their head-to-head record. Burgos CF’s home advantage further tilts the odds away from a draw.

Risk Factors

The main risk here is overestimating Real Valladolid’s ability to secure a draw on the road, especially considering their recent form.

Recommended Picks

Avoid betting on a draw due to the higher likelihood of either team securing a victory.

Double Chance

Data Signals

Burgos CF has shown consistency in securing at least a draw in recent matches. This trend suggests a favorable outlook for them not losing.

Risk Factors

The risk lies in underestimating Real Valladolid’s potential for an upset, despite their poor away record.

Recommended Picks

Betting on Burgos CF or Draw offers a safer option given their recent performance and home advantage.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Data Signals

Historical data shows that both teams have scored in 60% of their recent encounters. Burgos CF’s defensive record at home suggests caution, but Real Valladolid’s attacking intent could lead to goals from both sides.

Risk Factors

The primary risk is overestimating Burgos CF’s defensive capabilities at home, which might prevent one team from scoring.

Recommended Picks

Betting on BTTS is viable due to the attacking tendencies of both teams and historical scoring patterns.

Total Goals (Over/Under)

Data Signals

The average total goals in recent matches involving these teams is 2.81, with an average of 1.93 goals scored by the home team. This suggests an Over 1.5 Goals market could be favorable.

Risk Factors

The risk lies in potential defensive improvements by Burgos CF, which could lead to fewer goals than anticipated.

Recommended Picks

Betting on Over 1.5 Goals aligns with recent trends and average goals scored in similar fixtures.

Average Total Goals

Data Signals

The average total goals for this matchup is projected at 2.81, indicating a moderately high-scoring game based on historical data.

Risk Factors

The variability in scoring patterns poses a risk if either team significantly deviates from their average performance.

Recommended Picks

Betting on Over 2.5 Goals could be considered given the average total goals and recent trends.

Average Goals Scored/Conceded by Home/Away Team

Data Signals

Burgos CF averages 1.93 goals scored per match at home, while Real Valladolid concedes an average of 1.38 goals away from home. This data supports expectations of a competitive match with potential for multiple goals.

Risk Factors

The risk involves potential tactical changes by either team that could alter these averages significantly.

Recommended Picks

Betting strategies should consider these averages, favoring options that align with expected scoring patterns.

Yellow Cards

Data Signals

The average number of yellow cards issued in matches involving these teams is approximately 2.99, suggesting a moderate level of physicality and fouling.

Risk Factors

The main risk is an unexpected drop in disciplinary actions due to strategic adjustments by either team.

Recommended Picks

Betting on Over 2 Yellow Cards appears reasonable given historical averages and typical match intensity.

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