Football Home Team To Win: Daily Match Updates & Professional Betting Analysis
Football betting enthusiasts frequently turn to the "Home Team To Win" market for its unique blend of excitement, statistical support, and strategic potential. In this comprehensive guide, we provide daily updates, in-depth professional analysis, and smart strategies for maximizing your success when backing the home team.
Home Team To Win predictions for 2025-06-28
Argentina
Federal A Zona C
- 18:00 (2’) CSCyD Gimnasia Esgrima Chivilcoy vs El Linqueno 0-0Home Team To Win: 71.10%Odd: 1.70
- 19:00 Sportivo Las Parejas vs Gimnasia Esgrima Concepcion -Home Team To Win: 58.20%Odd: 1.91 Make Bet
Federal A Zona D
- 18:00 Atletico Rafaela vs CA Bartolome Mitre -Home Team To Win: 59.70%Odd: 1.51 Make Bet
- 18:30 Crucero Del Norte vs Sarmiento de Resistencia -Home Team To Win: 52.10%Odd: 2.00 Make Bet
Primera C Zona A
- 18:30 Berazategui vs Deportivo Espanol -Home Team To Win: 57.50%Odd: 2.30 Make Bet
- 20:00 Central Cordoba Rosario vs JJ Urquiza -Home Team To Win: 59.90%Odd: 2.25 Make Bet
- 18:30 Leandro Niceforo vs Defensores de Cambaceres -Home Team To Win: 67.20%Odd: 2.05 Make Bet
Primera Nacional Zona A
- 18:00 (3’) Tristan Suarez vs Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0Home Team To Win: 54.50%Odd: 2.20
Primera Nacional Zona B
- 20:15 Temperley vs Chaco For Ever -Home Team To Win: 56.80%Odd: 2.25 Make Bet
Australia
Capital NPL
- 07:45 (FT) Monaro Panthers vs Yoogali Soccer Club 1-1
New South Wales League One
- 07:00 (FT) Bankstown Berries vs Macarthur Rams 0-1
- 09:00 (FT) Inter Lions vs Hills Brumbies 0-1
New South Wales NPL 2 Youth League
- 07:00 (FT) Bonnyrigg WE U20 vs Bankstown City U20 3-0
- 07:00 (FT) Bulls Academy U20 vs Blacktown Spartans U20 3-1
- 08:30 Hakoah Sydney U20 vs Mounties Wanderers U20Home Team To Win: 53.30%
New South Wales NPL Youth League
- 07:00 (FT) WS Wanderers U20 vs Wollongong Wolves U20 3-1
Northern New South Wales
- 06:30 (FT) Adamstown Rosebud FC vs Cooks Hill United FC 1-0
- 06:30 (FT) Edgeworth Eagles vs Valentine Phoenix 2-0
Northern New South Wales Reserve League
- 04:00 (FT) Cooks Hill United Res. vs Adamstown Rosebuds Res. 1-0
- 04:00 (FT) Edgeworth Eagles Res. vs Valentine Res. 1-3Home Team To Win: 54.10%
Northern New South Wales State League
- 06:30 (FT) Lake Macquarie vs Thornton Redbacks 2-3
- 04:00 (FT) Toronto Awaba vs Kahibah 0-1
Northern Territory NPL
- 10:30 (FT) Port Darwin vs Casuarina 4-2
Queensland PL Youth
- 09:15 Rochedale Rovers U23 vs SWQ Thunder U23Home Team To Win: 57.80%Odd: 1.18 Make Bet
Queensland Premier League
- 05:30 (FT) Magic United vs Southside Eagles 8-1
- 06:00 (FT) Redlands United vs Logan Lightning 0-7
- 07:00 Rochedale Rovers vs SWQ Thunder FCHome Team To Win: 79.40%Odd: 1.02 Make Bet
Queensland Premier League 2
- 09:00 (FT) Moreton City Excelsior II vs North Lakes United FC 2-1
- 08:00 (FT) Taringa Rovers vs Mitchelton 2-5
South Australia Reserves Premier League
- 02:45 (FT) Croydon Res. vs Para Hills Knights Res. 1-5
South Australia State League 1 Reserves
- 03:15 (FT) Fulham United Res. vs Adelaide Olympic Res. 1-3
- 03:15 (FT) South Adelaide Res. vs Vipers Res. 4-0
South Australia Women NPL
- 05:30 (FT) FFSA NTC (w) vs Adelaide City (w) 1-1
- 05:30 (FT) Flinders United (w) vs Salisbury Inter (w) 0-5
Southern NPL
- 05:00 (FT) Croydon Kings vs Para Hills Knights 4-1
- 10:00 (FT) North Eastern Metro Stars vs Adelaide United Youth 1-1
- 05:30 (FT) Playford Patriots vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders SC 3-2
Southern State League
- 05:30 (FT) Fulham United vs Adelaide Olympic 3-1
Tasmania Northern Championship
- 06:45 Devonport City II vs Launceston United IIHome Team To Win: 61.10%
- 08:45 Riverside II vs Northern RangersHome Team To Win: 58.00%
- 04:30 Somerset FC vs Burnie UnitedHome Team To Win: 67.70%
Tasmania Premier League
- 04:30 (FT) Devonport City vs Launceston United 5-2
- 04:00 (FT) South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras FC 3-0
Tasmania Women's Super League
- 02:15 (FT) Devonport Strikers (w) vs Launceston United (w) 5-0
Victoria NPL Youth League
- 02:00 (FT) Avondale U23 vs Dandenong Thunder U23 1-3
- 22:00 South Melbourne U23 vs Hume City U23Home Team To Win: 51.00%
Victoria Women NPL
- 05:00 (FT) Brunswick Juventus (w) vs Bentleigh Greens (w) 2-1
- 06:15 (FT) Heidelberg United (w) vs FV Academy (w) 4-2
Victorian NPL
- 05:00 (FT) Avondale Heights vs Dandenong Thunder SC 1-1
Victorian Premier League Two
- 08:00 (FT) Caroline Springs George Cross FC vs Bentleigh Greens SC 0-1
- 05:00 (FT) North Sunshine Eagles vs Eastern Lions SC 5-1
Western Australia NPL Youth League
- 04:30 (FT) Perth Glory U23 II vs Sorrento U23 3-1
- 05:00 (FT) Perth RedStar U23 vs Bayswater City U23 3-1
- 03:00 (FT) Perth U23 vs Stirling Macedonia U23 2-2
Western Australia State League 1
- 09:00 Dianella White Eagles vs SubiacoHome Team To Win: 67.20%Odd: 1.95 Make Bet
- 07:00 Joondalup City vs Kingsley WestsideHome Team To Win: 59.80%Odd: 1.70 Make Bet
- 07:00 (FT) Murdoch Uni Melville vs Mandurah City 2-1
Western Australia State League 1 Reserves
Belarus
1. Division
- 11:00 (FT) ABFF U19 vs Minsk II 0-2
- 15:00 (FT) Baranovichi vs Ostrovets FC 1-1
- 14:30 (FT) Niva Dolbizno vs Slonim 2-1
Brazil
Paulista U20 1st Phase Group 3
- 18:00 (9’) São Paulo U20 vs Maua U20 0-0Home Team To Win: 68.30%Odd: 1.18
Serie D Group A3
- 20:30 Ferroviario vs Treze -Home Team To Win: 86.60%Odd: 1.91 Make Bet
- 18:00 (7’) Santa Cruz de Natal vs America RN 0-0Home Team To Win: 60.90%Odd: 3.75
Serie D Group A4
- 20:00 ASA vs Lagarto FC -Home Team To Win: 64.80%Odd: 1.38 Make Bet
Serie D Group A6
- 20:00 Portuguesa SP vs Porto Vitória -Home Team To Win: 77.80%Odd: 1.50 Make Bet
- 19:00 Pouso Alegre vs Marica FC -Home Team To Win: 60.00%Odd: 2.50 Make Bet
Serie D Group A8
- 19:00 Barra FC vs Joinville -Home Team To Win: 61.30%
China
China League One
- 11:00 (FT) Liaoning Tieren FC vs Nanjing City FC 1-1
- 11:00 (FT) Shaanxi Union vs Dalian Kuncheng FC 2-1
- 11:00 (FT) Shanghai Jiading vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao FC 3-1
- 11:30 (FT) Shenzhen Juniors vs Dingnan United FC 1-1
Chinese Football League 2 North
- 08:00 (FT) Changchun Xidu vs Xi'an Ronghai 2-0
Ecuador
Serie A
- 00:00 (FT) Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa 1-0
Estonia
Esiliiga B
- 12:00 (FT) Maardu vs Tabasalu JK Charma 3-2
Finland
Kakkonen - Group A
- 14:00 Honka vs FC ReipasHome Team To Win: 64.60%Odd: 2.15 Make Bet
- 14:00 PuiU vs HaPkHome Team To Win: 61.00%Odd: 1.06 Make Bet
Kakkonen - Group B
- 14:00 Pallo-Iirot vs PPJHome Team To Win: 61.30%Odd: 2.00 Make Bet
Kolmonen - Etela Group A
- 14:00 EBK vs EPS IIHome Team To Win: 54.80%Odd: 1.06 Make Bet
Kolmonen - Ita B
- 11:00 KJP Kouvola vs PurhaHome Team To Win: 85.10%
Kolmonen - Lansi Group A
- 11:00 PIF Parainen vs Mariehamn IIHome Team To Win: 77.10%
Ykkonen
- 16:00 (FT) Inter Turku U19 vs KPV 7-1
Iceland
4. Deild
- 14:00 Ellidi vs HamarHome Team To Win: 64.70%Odd: 2.80 Make Bet
International
Women National Friendlies
- 02:00 Mexico (w) vs Colombia (w) -Home Team To Win: 52.80%Odd: 2.38 Make Bet
Japan
J. League
- 09:00 (FT) Kashima Antlers vs Fagiano Okayama 1-2
- 10:00 (FT) Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus Eight 1-2
- 10:00 (FT) Shonan Bellmare vs Yokohama F.Marinos 1-1
J. League 3
- 09:00 (FT) Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori 1-2
Korea Republic
K-League 2
- 10:00 (FT) Ansan Greeners FC vs Cheonan City 0-0
- 10:00 (FT) Bucheon 1995 vs Gyeongnam FC 2-0
K3 League
- 07:00 (FT) Chuncheon Citizen vs Mokpo City 3-2
Lithuania
1 Lyga
- 15:00 (FT) BFA vs FK Atmosfera 1-0
- 12:00 (FT) FK Kauno Zalgiris B vs Nevezis 2-2
Malawi
Super League
- 12:30 MAFCO vs Mighty TigersHome Team To Win: 58.10%Odd: 2.15 Make Bet
Mongolia
Premier League
- 05:15 (FT) FC Deren vs Khovd 1-1
- 11:15 (FT) Khoromkhon vs Tuv Azarganuud FC 1-0Home Team To Win: 53.30%
- 08:15 (FT) Ulaanbaatar FC vs Brera Ilch FC 0-0
New Zealand
Central League
- 02:30 (FT) Miramar Rangers AFC vs North Wellington 1-1
Southern League
- 02:45 (FT) Ferrymead Bays vs Selwyn United 1-1
Norway
1. Division
- 12:00 (FT) Kongsvinger vs Raufoss 2-2
- 14:00 (FT) Lillestrom vs Sogndal 0-0
- 14:00 (FT) Moss vs Egersund 2-4
3. Division Avd. 1
- 13:00 (FT) Frigg vs Baerum 3-4
- 12:00 (FT) Gamle Oslo vs Funnefoss / Vormsund 3-3
3. Division Avd. 2
- 13:00 (FT) Nardo vs Surnadal 6-0
3. Division Avd. 3
- 13:00 (FT) Lorenskog vs Nordstrand 0-1
- 13:00 (FT) Skedsmo vs Elverum 0-2
Paraguay
Division Intermedia
- 20:30 12 de Junio vs Independiente FBC -Home Team To Win: 60.90%Odd: 1.80 Make Bet
Peru
Liga 2 Group B
- 20:00 Universidad Cesar Vallejo Moquegua vs Deportivo Coopsol -Home Team To Win: 68.40%Odd: 1.35 Make Bet
Russia
Second League Division B Group 2
- 14:00 (FT) Chertanovo Moskva vs Torpedo Vladimir 1-2
- 15:00 (FT) Dinamo Vologda vs Kolomna 1-0
- 09:00 (FT) Spartak Moskva II vs FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk II 2-0
Second League Division B Group 3
- 13:00 FK Ryazan vs Dynamo Bryansk -Home Team To Win: 59.20%
- 15:00 Salyut Belgorod vs Zenit Penza -Home Team To Win: 63.30%
Sweden
2. Division Norrland Soedra
- 12:00 (FT) Gotene IF vs Taftea IK 1-1
2. Division Soedra Svealand
- 14:00 (FT) Ragsveds IF vs Syrianska Eskilstuna IF 5-2
2. Division Vaestra Goetaland
- 14:00 (FT) Astorps vs Varbergs GIF FK 1-0
- 11:00 (FT) Tvaakers IF vs Lindome GIF 4-0
Allsvenskan
- 13:00 (FT) Hammarby IF vs Halmstad 2-0
Division 1 Sodra
- 14:00 (FT) Jonkopings Sodra vs Trollhattan 2-1
Superettan
- 11:00 (FT) Orgryte vs Helsingborg IF 0-2
Uruguay
Primera Division Intermedio Group A
- 18:00 Club Atletico Penarol vs Cerro -Home Team To Win: 66.80%Odd: 1.29 Make Bet
- 18:00 Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia -Home Team To Win: 66.30%Odd: 1.80 Make Bet
Primera Division Intermedio Group B
- 23:00 Boston River vs Miramar Misiones -Home Team To Win: 68.90%Odd: 1.85 Make Bet
Uzbekistan
Superliga
- 14:00 Navbahor Namangan vs Mashal Mubarek -Home Team To Win: 64.80%Odd: 1.38 Make Bet
Zimbabwe
Premier Soccer League
- 13:00 Ngezi Platinum FC vs Kwekwe United -Home Team To Win: 64.30%
Understanding the "Home Team To Win" Bet
The "Home Team To Win" bet is one of the most popular markets in football wagering. Bettors select the home side to secure victory within 90 minutes, excluding extra time or penalties. The rationale stems from the well-documented phenomenon of home advantage—where support from local fans, familiarity with the pitch, and reduced travel fatigue can meaningfully sway match outcomes.
Analyzing Home Advantage: Key Statistics
- Premier League (2022/23): Home teams won 47% of matches.
- La Liga (2022/23): Home sides took 44% of games outright.
- Bundesliga (2022/23): Home victories occurred in 41% of fixtures.
- Historical average (Europe's top 5 leagues over last decade): Home teams win around 45% of matches.
While these percentages fluctuate each season and vary by league, the tendency for home teams to prevail remains a potent factor in strategic betting.
Daily Match Updates & Betting Insights
Stay updated with the latest fixtures where the home team holds an edge. Each day, we analyze upcoming matches based on form, squad news, head-to-head history, and contextual factors such as weather or rest schedules.
| Date | Fixture | Odds (Home Win) | Analysis & Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-12 | Real Madrid vs. Getafe | 1.33 | Real Madrid boasts a formidable home record. Getafe struggles away. Pick: Home win. |
| 2024-06-12 | Bayern Munich vs. Augsburg | 1.18 | Bayern's attacking power at Allianz Arena is overwhelming. Augsburg underdogs. Pick: Home win. |
| 2024-06-12 | Brentford vs. Fulham | 2.10 | Brentford solid at home, Fulham away defense leaky. Great odds for a home win bet. |
Professional Analysis: Strategies for Home Team Betting
1. Study Recent Form
Check both home side's and visitor's last five matches. Teams on a winning streak, especially at home, are often worth backing.
2. Evaluate Team News
Absences of key players—especially in defense or attack—can dramatically affect home prospects. Read team updates before placing bets.
3. Consider Motivational Factors
- Are the home team fighting relegation or chasing a Champions League spot?
- Are they playing after a tough midweek fixture (fatigue factors)?
4. Compare Head-to-Head Records
Some teams simply have another’s number, especially on their turf. Historical matchups often reveal useful trends.
Advanced Metrics: Boosting Your "Home Team To Win" Returns
Besides basic stats, leverage these advanced metrics:
- xG (Expected Goals): Measures the quality of scoring chances and can forecast future home domination.
- Home Goals Per Game: Top European sides often average 2+ goals at home, making handicaps worth consideration.
- Possession Stats: High-possession home teams are likelier to control matches and secure wins.
Example: Liverpool's Fortress at Anfield
Across the last ten seasons, Liverpool have maintained one of the best home records in the Premier League. Between August 2017 and January 2021, they were unbeaten at Anfield—a stretch encompassing 68 league matches. Such trends translate into extremely short odds, but serve as a model for identifying home teams with robust win potential.
Smart Bankroll Management
Even with research and smart analysis, betting carries risks. Stagger your stakes, avoid doubling down after a loss, and never stake more than you can afford to lose. Consider a flat betting model (equal unit size) when focusing on the home win market.
Conclusion: Maximizing Value in the Home Win Market
The "Home Team To Win" bet offers football fans a logically sound and statistically backed wager, especially when data-driven insights are applied. Use daily match updates, deeper analysis, and disciplined betting strategies to increase your edge. Keep track of league trends and adapt your approach as the season unfolds for consistent winning opportunities in the home market.
