Football Home Team To Win: Daily Match Updates & Professional Betting Analysis
Football betting enthusiasts frequently turn to the "Home Team To Win" market for its unique blend of excitement, statistical support, and strategic potential. In this comprehensive guide, we provide daily updates, in-depth professional analysis, and smart strategies for maximizing your success when backing the home team.
Home Team To Win predictions for 2025-06-28
Argentina
Federal A Zona C
- 18:00 CSCyD Gimnasia Esgrima Chivilcoy vs El Linqueno -Home Team To Win: 68.50%Odd: 1.65 Make Bet
- 19:00 Sportivo Las Parejas vs Gimnasia Esgrima Concepcion -Home Team To Win: 55.70%Odd: 2.00 Make Bet
Federal A Zona D
- 18:00 Atletico Rafaela vs CA Bartolome Mitre -Home Team To Win: 62.00%Odd: 1.70 Make Bet
- 18:30 Crucero Del Norte vs Sarmiento de Resistencia -Home Team To Win: 51.20%Odd: 2.38 Make Bet
Primera C Zona A
- 18:30 Berazategui vs Deportivo Espanol -Home Team To Win: 55.80%Odd: 2.38 Make Bet
- 20:00 Central Cordoba Rosario vs JJ Urquiza -Home Team To Win: 59.90%Odd: 2.25 Make Bet
- 18:30 Leandro Niceforo vs Defensores de Cambaceres -Home Team To Win: 67.40%Odd: 2.00 Make Bet
Primera Nacional Zona A
- 18:00 Tristan Suarez vs Ferro Carril Oeste -Home Team To Win: 54.30%Odd: 2.20 Make Bet
Primera Nacional Zona B
- 20:15 Temperley vs Chaco For Ever -Home Team To Win: 58.70%Odd: 2.25 Make Bet
Australia
Capital NPL
- 07:45 Monaro Panthers vs Yoogali Soccer Club -Home Team To Win: 82.70%
New South Wales League One
- 07:00 Bankstown Berries vs Macarthur Rams -Home Team To Win: 55.30%Odd: 2.05 Make Bet
- 09:00 Inter Lions vs Hills Brumbies -Home Team To Win: 51.90%Odd: 2.00 Make Bet
New South Wales NPL 2 Youth League
- 07:00 Bonnyrigg WE U20 vs Bankstown City U20Home Team To Win: 58.20%
- 07:00 Bulls Academy U20 vs Blacktown Spartans U20Home Team To Win: 87.00%
- 08:30 Hakoah Sydney U20 vs Mounties Wanderers U20Home Team To Win: 50.00%
New South Wales NPL Youth League
Northern New South Wales
- 06:30 Edgeworth Eagles vs Valentine Phoenix -Home Team To Win: 66.00%Odd: 1.18 Make Bet
Northern New South Wales Reserve League
- 04:00 Cooks Hill United Res. vs Adamstown Rosebuds Res.Home Team To Win: 50.80%
- 04:00 Edgeworth Eagles Res. vs Valentine Res.Home Team To Win: 52.00%
Northern New South Wales State League
- 06:30 Lake Macquarie vs Thornton Redbacks -Home Team To Win: 57.60%
- 04:00 Toronto Awaba vs Kahibah -Home Team To Win: 51.60%
Northern Territory NPL
- 10:30 Port Darwin vs Casuarina -Home Team To Win: 64.70%Odd: 1.45 Make Bet
Queensland PL Youth
- 09:15 Rochedale Rovers U23 vs SWQ Thunder U23Home Team To Win: 55.20%Odd: 1.18 Make Bet
Queensland Premier League
- 06:00 Redlands United vs Logan Lightning -Home Team To Win: 82.10%Odd: 2.38 Make Bet
Queensland Premier League 2
- 09:00 Moreton City Excelsior II vs North Lakes United FC -Home Team To Win: 90.60%Odd: 1.25 Make Bet
- 08:00 Taringa Rovers vs Mitchelton -Home Team To Win: 60.10%Odd: 2.30 Make Bet
South Australia Reserves Premier League
- 02:45 Croydon Res. vs Para Hills Knights Res.Home Team To Win: 64.30%
South Australia State League 1 Reserves
- 03:15 Fulham United Res. vs Adelaide Olympic Res.Home Team To Win: 64.90%
- 03:15 South Adelaide Res. vs Vipers Res.Home Team To Win: 55.10%
South Australia Women NPL
- 05:30 FFSA NTC (w) vs Adelaide City (w)Home Team To Win: 68.90%
- 05:30 Flinders United (w) vs Salisbury Inter (w)Home Team To Win: 56.90%
Southern NPL
- 05:00 Croydon Kings vs Para Hills Knights -Home Team To Win: 56.70%Odd: 1.91 Make Bet
- 10:00 North Eastern Metro Stars vs Adelaide United Youth -Home Team To Win: 80.80%Odd: 1.50 Make Bet
- 05:30 Playford Patriots vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders SC -Home Team To Win: 59.30%Odd: 1.78 Make Bet
Southern State League
- 05:30 Fulham United vs Adelaide Olympic -Home Team To Win: 59.00%Odd: 1.80 Make Bet
Tasmania Northern Championship
- 06:45 Devonport City II vs Launceston United IIHome Team To Win: 63.20%
- 08:45 Riverside II vs Northern RangersHome Team To Win: 59.10%
- 04:30 Somerset FC vs Burnie UnitedHome Team To Win: 70.30%
Tasmania Premier League
- 04:30 Devonport City vs Launceston United -Home Team To Win: 67.80%Odd: 1.01 Make Bet
- 04:00 South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras FC -Home Team To Win: 80.00%Odd: 1.01 Make Bet
Tasmania Women's Super League
- 02:15 Devonport Strikers (w) vs Launceston United (w)Home Team To Win: 66.40%Odd: 1.13 Make Bet
Victoria NPL Youth League
- 02:00 Avondale U23 vs Dandenong Thunder U23Home Team To Win: 69.30%Odd: 1.11 Make Bet
- 22:00 South Melbourne U23 vs Hume City U23Home Team To Win: 51.30%Odd: 1.60 Make Bet
Victoria Women NPL
- 05:00 Brunswick Juventus (w) vs Bentleigh Greens (w)Home Team To Win: 67.40%
- 06:15 Heidelberg United (w) vs FV Academy (w)Home Team To Win: 80.70%
Victorian NPL
- 05:00 Avondale Heights vs Dandenong Thunder SC -Home Team To Win: 68.50%Odd: 1.45 Make Bet
Victorian Premier League Two
- 08:00 Caroline Springs George Cross FC vs Bentleigh Greens SC -Home Team To Win: 60.80%Odd: 1.91 Make Bet
- 05:00 North Sunshine Eagles vs Eastern Lions SC -Home Team To Win: 75.60%Odd: 1.65 Make Bet
Western Australia NPL Youth League
- 04:30 Perth Glory U23 II vs Sorrento U23Home Team To Win: 59.50%
- 05:00 Perth RedStar U23 vs Bayswater City U23Home Team To Win: 59.60%Odd: 2.05 Make Bet
- 03:00 Perth U23 vs Stirling Macedonia U23Home Team To Win: 54.20%Odd: 1.80 Make Bet
Western Australia State League 1
- 09:00 Dianella White Eagles vs SubiacoHome Team To Win: 64.00%Odd: 1.95 Make Bet
- 07:00 Joondalup City vs Kingsley WestsideHome Team To Win: 60.90%Odd: 1.70 Make Bet
- 07:00 Murdoch Uni Melville vs Mandurah CityHome Team To Win: 56.50%Odd: 2.25 Make Bet
Western Australia State League 1 Reserves
- 05:00 Kalamunda City Res. vs Gosnells City ReservesHome Team To Win: 57.50%Odd: 1.83 Make Bet
Belarus
1. Division
- 11:00 ABFF U19 vs Minsk II -Home Team To Win: 57.80%
- 15:00 Baranovichi vs Ostrovets FC -Home Team To Win: 64.70%
- 14:30 Niva Dolbizno vs Slonim -Home Team To Win: 57.40%
Brazil
Paulista U20 1st Phase Group 3
- 18:00 São Paulo U20 vs Maua U20 -Home Team To Win: 71.70%Odd: 1.25 Make Bet
Serie D Group A3
- 20:00 Ferroviario vs Treze -Home Team To Win: 86.00%
- 18:00 Santa Cruz de Natal vs America RN -Home Team To Win: 60.30%Odd: 4.20 Make Bet
Serie D Group A4
- 20:00 ASA vs Lagarto FC -Home Team To Win: 63.20%
Serie D Group A6
- 20:00 Portuguesa SP vs Porto Vitória -Home Team To Win: 73.30%Odd: 1.53 Make Bet
- 20:00 Pouso Alegre vs Marica FC -Home Team To Win: 65.60%Odd: 2.20 Make Bet
Serie D Group A8
- 19:00 Barra FC vs Joinville -Home Team To Win: 62.40%
China
China League One
- 11:00 Liaoning Tieren FC vs Nanjing City FC -Home Team To Win: 76.00%Odd: 1.36 Make Bet
- 11:00 Shaanxi Union vs Dalian Kuncheng FC -Home Team To Win: 54.50%Odd: 2.05 Make Bet
- 11:00 Shanghai Jiading vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao FC -Home Team To Win: 52.80%Odd: 1.95 Make Bet
- 11:30 Shenzhen Juniors vs Dingnan United FC -Home Team To Win: 71.30%Odd: 2.05 Make Bet
Chinese Football League 2 North
- 08:00 Changchun Xidu vs Xi'an Ronghai -Home Team To Win: 65.80%Odd: 1.57 Make Bet
Ecuador
Serie A
- 00:00 (FT) Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa 1-0
Estonia
Esiliiga B
- 12:00 Maardu vs Tabasalu JK Charma -Home Team To Win: 67.70%Odd: 1.29 Make Bet
Finland
Kakkonen - Group A
- 14:00 Honka vs FC ReipasHome Team To Win: 65.80%Odd: 1.33 Make Bet
- 14:00 PuiU vs HaPkHome Team To Win: 63.90%Odd: 1.22 Make Bet
Kakkonen - Group B
- 14:00 Pallo-Iirot vs PPJHome Team To Win: 58.40%Odd: 1.70 Make Bet
Kolmonen - Etela Group A
- 14:00 EBK vs EPS IIHome Team To Win: 55.30%Odd: 1.45 Make Bet
Kolmonen - Ita B
- 11:00 KJP Kouvola vs PurhaHome Team To Win: 86.70%
Kolmonen - Lansi Group A
- 11:00 PIF Parainen vs Mariehamn IIHome Team To Win: 78.70%
Ykkonen
- 16:00 Inter Turku U19 vs KPV -Home Team To Win: 54.30%Odd: 1.75 Make Bet
Iceland
4. Deild
- 14:00 Ellidi vs HamarHome Team To Win: 65.10%Odd: 1.29 Make Bet
International
Women National Friendlies
- 02:00 Mexico (w) vs Colombia (w) -Home Team To Win: 52.80%Odd: 2.38 Make Bet
Japan
J. League
- 09:00 Kashima Antlers vs Fagiano Okayama -Home Team To Win: 59.40%Odd: 1.95 Make Bet
- 10:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus Eight -Home Team To Win: 62.80%Odd: 1.80 Make Bet
- 10:00 Shonan Bellmare vs Yokohama F.Marinos -Home Team To Win: 52.10%Odd: 2.30 Make Bet
J. League 3
- 09:00 Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori -Home Team To Win: 71.40%Odd: 1.80 Make Bet
Korea Republic
K-League 2
- 10:00 Ansan Greeners FC vs Cheonan City -Home Team To Win: 54.00%Odd: 2.38 Make Bet
- 10:00 Bucheon 1995 vs Gyeongnam FC -Home Team To Win: 57.80%Odd: 1.70 Make Bet
K3 League
- 07:00 Chuncheon Citizen vs Mokpo City -Home Team To Win: 74.30%Odd: 2.50 Make Bet
Lithuania
1 Lyga
- 15:00 BFA vs FK Atmosfera -Home Team To Win: 61.00%Odd: 1.83 Make Bet
- 12:00 FK Kauno Zalgiris B vs Nevezis -Home Team To Win: 51.30%Odd: 2.38 Make Bet
Malawi
Super League
- 12:30 MAFCO vs Mighty Tigers -Home Team To Win: 60.20%Odd: 2.05 Make Bet
New Zealand
Central League
- 02:30 Miramar Rangers AFC vs North WellingtonHome Team To Win: 81.00%Odd: 1.10 Make Bet
Southern League
- 02:45 Ferrymead Bays vs Selwyn UnitedHome Team To Win: 67.30%Odd: 1.10 Make Bet
Norway
1. Division
- 12:00 Kongsvinger vs Raufoss -Home Team To Win: 52.30%Odd: 1.35 Make Bet
- 14:00 Lillestrom vs Sogndal -Home Team To Win: 62.60%Odd: 1.27 Make Bet
- 14:00 Moss vs Egersund -Home Team To Win: 55.60%Odd: 2.55 Make Bet
3. Division Avd. 1
- 13:00 Frigg vs Baerum -Home Team To Win: 68.70%Odd: 1.70 Make Bet
- 12:00 Gamle Oslo vs Funnefoss / Vormsund -Home Team To Win: 82.90%Odd: 1.14 Make Bet
3. Division Avd. 2
- 13:00 Nardo vs Surnadal -Home Team To Win: 58.90%Odd: 1.14 Make Bet
3. Division Avd. 3
- 13:00 Lorenskog vs Nordstrand -Home Team To Win: 62.40%Odd: 1.30 Make Bet
- 13:00 Skedsmo vs Elverum -Home Team To Win: 57.40%Odd: 4.60 Make Bet
Paraguay
Division Intermedia
- 20:30 12 de Junio vs Independiente FBC -Home Team To Win: 57.70%Odd: 2.05 Make Bet
Peru
Liga 2 Group B
- 20:00 Universidad Cesar Vallejo Moquegua vs Deportivo Coopsol -Home Team To Win: 67.10%Odd: 1.22 Make Bet
Russia
Second League Division B Group 2
- 10:00 Chertanovo Moskva vs Torpedo Vladimir -Home Team To Win: 55.80%
- 10:00 Dinamo Vologda vs Kolomna -Home Team To Win: 52.70%
- 10:00 Spartak Moskva II vs FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk II -Home Team To Win: 81.00%
Second League Division B Group 3
- 10:00 FK Ryazan vs Dynamo Bryansk -Home Team To Win: 57.90%
- 10:00 Salyut Belgorod vs Zenit Penza -Home Team To Win: 63.90%
Sweden
2. Division Norrland Soedra
- 12:00 Gotene IF vs Taftea IK -Home Team To Win: 69.10%Odd: 1.53 Make Bet
2. Division Soedra Svealand
- 14:00 FOC Farsta vs IF Eker OrebroHome Team To Win: 69.40%
- 14:00 Ragsveds IF vs Syrianska Eskilstuna IF -Home Team To Win: 66.50%
2. Division Vaestra Goetaland
- 14:00 Astorps vs Varbergs GIF FK -Home Team To Win: 57.10%Odd: 1.50 Make Bet
- 11:00 Tvaakers IF vs Lindome GIF -Home Team To Win: 55.60%Odd: 1.50 Make Bet
Allsvenskan
- 13:00 Hammarby IF vs Halmstad -Home Team To Win: 67.50%Odd: 1.29 Make Bet
Division 1 Sodra
- 14:00 Jonkopings Sodra vs Trollhattan -Home Team To Win: 69.40%Odd: 1.50 Make Bet
Superettan
- 11:00 Orgryte vs Helsingborg IF -Home Team To Win: 60.30%Odd: 1.90 Make Bet
Uruguay
Primera Division Intermedio Group A
- 18:00 Club Atletico Penarol vs Cerro -Home Team To Win: 66.90%Odd: 1.27 Make Bet
- 18:00 Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia -Home Team To Win: 65.70%Odd: 1.80 Make Bet
Primera Division Intermedio Group B
- 23:00 Boston River vs Miramar Misiones -Home Team To Win: 67.80%Odd: 1.85 Make Bet
Uzbekistan
Superliga
- 14:00 Navbahor Namangan vs Mashal Mubarek -Home Team To Win: 64.40%Odd: 1.38 Make Bet
Understanding the "Home Team To Win" Bet
The "Home Team To Win" bet is one of the most popular markets in football wagering. Bettors select the home side to secure victory within 90 minutes, excluding extra time or penalties. The rationale stems from the well-documented phenomenon of home advantage—where support from local fans, familiarity with the pitch, and reduced travel fatigue can meaningfully sway match outcomes.
Analyzing Home Advantage: Key Statistics
- Premier League (2022/23): Home teams won 47% of matches.
- La Liga (2022/23): Home sides took 44% of games outright.
- Bundesliga (2022/23): Home victories occurred in 41% of fixtures.
- Historical average (Europe's top 5 leagues over last decade): Home teams win around 45% of matches.
While these percentages fluctuate each season and vary by league, the tendency for home teams to prevail remains a potent factor in strategic betting.
Daily Match Updates & Betting Insights
Stay updated with the latest fixtures where the home team holds an edge. Each day, we analyze upcoming matches based on form, squad news, head-to-head history, and contextual factors such as weather or rest schedules.
Date | Fixture | Odds (Home Win) | Analysis & Pick |
---|---|---|---|
2024-06-12 | Real Madrid vs. Getafe | 1.33 | Real Madrid boasts a formidable home record. Getafe struggles away. Pick: Home win. |
2024-06-12 | Bayern Munich vs. Augsburg | 1.18 | Bayern's attacking power at Allianz Arena is overwhelming. Augsburg underdogs. Pick: Home win. |
2024-06-12 | Brentford vs. Fulham | 2.10 | Brentford solid at home, Fulham away defense leaky. Great odds for a home win bet. |
Professional Analysis: Strategies for Home Team Betting
1. Study Recent Form
Check both home side's and visitor's last five matches. Teams on a winning streak, especially at home, are often worth backing.
2. Evaluate Team News
Absences of key players—especially in defense or attack—can dramatically affect home prospects. Read team updates before placing bets.
3. Consider Motivational Factors
- Are the home team fighting relegation or chasing a Champions League spot?
- Are they playing after a tough midweek fixture (fatigue factors)?
4. Compare Head-to-Head Records
Some teams simply have another’s number, especially on their turf. Historical matchups often reveal useful trends.
Advanced Metrics: Boosting Your "Home Team To Win" Returns
Besides basic stats, leverage these advanced metrics:
- xG (Expected Goals): Measures the quality of scoring chances and can forecast future home domination.
- Home Goals Per Game: Top European sides often average 2+ goals at home, making handicaps worth consideration.
- Possession Stats: High-possession home teams are likelier to control matches and secure wins.
Example: Liverpool's Fortress at Anfield
Across the last ten seasons, Liverpool have maintained one of the best home records in the Premier League. Between August 2017 and January 2021, they were unbeaten at Anfield—a stretch encompassing 68 league matches. Such trends translate into extremely short odds, but serve as a model for identifying home teams with robust win potential.
Smart Bankroll Management
Even with research and smart analysis, betting carries risks. Stagger your stakes, avoid doubling down after a loss, and never stake more than you can afford to lose. Consider a flat betting model (equal unit size) when focusing on the home win market.
Conclusion: Maximizing Value in the Home Win Market
The "Home Team To Win" bet offers football fans a logically sound and statistically backed wager, especially when data-driven insights are applied. Use daily match updates, deeper analysis, and disciplined betting strategies to increase your edge. Keep track of league trends and adapt your approach as the season unfolds for consistent winning opportunities in the home market.