Football Under 5.5 Cards: Daily Stats, Betting Analysis & Winning Strategies
The "Under 5.5 Cards" market has become one of the most reliable and popular options for football bettors, focusing on the total number of cards (yellow and red) awarded in a match. Unlike goal-related bets, this market allows punters to leverage discipline trends, refereeing patterns, and competition contexts to achieve steady returns.
Under 5.5 Cards predictions for 2025-06-28
Argentina
Federal A Zona D
- 18:30 Crucero Del Norte vs Sarmiento de Resistencia -Under 5.5 Cards: 64.30%
Japan
J. League
- 10:00 Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe -Under 5.5 Cards: 91.20%
- 10:00 FC Tokyo vs Yokohama FC -Under 5.5 Cards: 81.60%
- 09:00 Kashima Antlers vs Fagiano Okayama -Under 5.5 Cards: 84.60%
- 10:00 Kyoto Sanga FC vs Gamba Osaka -Under 5.5 Cards: 83.40%
- 10:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus Eight -Under 5.5 Cards: 95.60%
- 09:30 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol -Under 5.5 Cards: 87.30%
- 10:00 Shonan Bellmare vs Yokohama F.Marinos -Under 5.5 Cards: 77.40%
J. League 2
- 10:00 Fujieda MYFC vs Imabari -Under 5.5 Cards: 70.60%
- 05:00 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Roasso Kumamoto -Under 5.5 Cards: 76.10%
- 10:30 Jubilo Iwata vs Vegalta Sendai -Under 5.5 Cards: 77.60%
- 09:00 Kataller Toyama vs JEF United Chiba -Under 5.5 Cards: 82.20%
- 09:00 Mito Hollyhock vs Tokushima Vortis -Under 5.5 Cards: 72.50%
- 10:00 Montedio Yamagata vs V-Varen Nagasaki -Under 5.5 Cards: 69.40%
- 10:00 Oita Trinita vs Omiya Ardija -Under 5.5 Cards: 77.30%
- 10:00 Renofa Yamaguchi vs Blaublitz Akita -Under 5.5 Cards: 72.40%
- 10:00 Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki SC -Under 5.5 Cards: 73.70%
- 09:30 Ventforet Kofu vs Ehime FC -Under 5.5 Cards: 74.50%
Korea Republic
K-League
- 10:00 Anyang vs Gwangju FC -Under 5.5 Cards: 74.50%
- 10:00 Suwon FC vs Gangwon FC -Under 5.5 Cards: 90.40%
Norway
1. Division
- 12:00 Hodd vs Mjondalen -Under 5.5 Cards: 69.20%
- 12:00 Kongsvinger vs Raufoss -Under 5.5 Cards: 89.20%
- 14:00 Lillestrom vs Sogndal -Under 5.5 Cards: 84.70%
- 14:00 Moss vs Egersund -Under 5.5 Cards: 93.30%
- 14:00 Odd BK vs Start -Under 5.5 Cards: 90.90%
- 14:00 Skeid vs Aalesund -Under 5.5 Cards: 80.40%
- 14:00 Stabaek vs Ranheim -Under 5.5 Cards: 98.20%
Eliteserien
- 16:00 Rosenborg vs Viking -Under 5.5 Cards: 90.60%
Sweden
Allsvenskan
- 13:00 Hammarby IF vs Halmstad -Under 5.5 Cards: 86.80%
- 15:30 Osters IF vs Sirius -Under 5.5 Cards: 81.00%
Superettan
- 13:00 GIF Sundsvall vs Ostersunds FK -Under 5.5 Cards: 71.30%
- 11:00 Orgryte vs Helsingborg IF -Under 5.5 Cards: 91.80%
- 13:00 Trelleborgs FF vs Oddevold -Under 5.5 Cards: 80.20%
- 11:00 Vasteras SK vs Landskrona BoIS -Under 5.5 Cards: 68.60%
USA
Major League Soccer
- 23:30 CF Montreal vs New York City FC -Under 5.5 Cards: 71.90%
- 23:30 DC United vs Nashville SC -Under 5.5 Cards: 74.70%
- 23:30 New England Revolution vs Colorado Rapids -Under 5.5 Cards: 73.40%
- 23:30 New York Red Bulls vs Minnesota United -Under 5.5 Cards: 77.60%
- 23:30 Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati -Under 5.5 Cards: 89.90%
- 23:30 Toronto FC vs Portland Timbers -Under 5.5 Cards: 83.60%
Uruguay
Primera Division Intermedio Group B
- 23:00 Boston River vs Miramar Misiones -Under 5.5 Cards: 64.90%
Understanding Under 5.5 Cards Betting
Betting on Under 5.5 cards means you are wagering that no more than five cards (yellow or red, overall usually counted as 1 for a yellow and 2 for a red) will be shown during a football match. Bookmakers provide this line because data consistently shows that many top-flight football matches produce four or fewer cautions. This market suits those with a keen eye on referee tendencies, team discipline, and stages of competitions.
Latest Daily Match Updates & Card Stats
- 07 June 2024, EURO Qualifier: Denmark vs. Finland - Cards shown: 3 (all yellow) - Referee: Ivan Kruzliak - Denmark has averaged 2.1 cards/game this season; Finland, 1.5 - Under 5.5 cards landed in 9 of Denmark’s last 10 games
- 07 June 2024, Serie A: Napoli vs. Lecce - Cards shown: 5 (4 yellow, 1 red) - Referee: Giovanni Ayroldi - Average for this referee: 4.2 cards per match in the season - Under 5.5 cards: Napoli home matches, hit rate 83%
- 06 June 2024, Brazil Serie A: Palmeiras vs. Bahia - Cards shown: 4 (yellow only) - Bahia’s last 5 matches: averaged 3.8 cards - Under 5.5 cards in 4 of last 5 games for both teams
Season Card Statistics - Top Leagues
| League | % Matches Under 5.5 Cards | Average Cards per Match |
|---|---|---|
| English Premier League | 82% | 3.8 |
| La Liga | 65% | 5.2 |
| Serie A | 78% | 4.1 |
| Bundesliga | 88% | 3.1 |
| Champions League | 90% | 2.7 |
Effective Betting Strategies for Under 5.5 Cards
-
Research Referee Trends
Some referees are notorious for flashing cards, while others are lenient. For instance, in the Premier League, Michael Oliver averages only 2.8 cards per game, while Mike Dean historically averaged over 4.5. Always check the appointed official. -
Team Discipline Analysis
Defensive-minded teams or those under relegation threat often pick up more cards. Analyze recent matches and historical averages; some clubs like Manchester City or Real Madrid consistently stay under the threshold. -
Avoid Derbies and Deciders
High-stakes or rivalry matches often see a spike in cards. Focus on mid-table clashes or games without direct rivalry for safer under bets. -
Use In-Play Betting
If a match starts calmly with no early cautions, in-play odds on under 5.5 cards may still offer value after 20-30 minutes.
Recent Successful Under 5.5 Cards Bets: Examples
- Arsenal vs. Fulham (Premier League): 2 October 2023 - Final card count: 2 (both yellow) - Pre-game research: Both teams averaged under 1.5 cards in previous 5 fixtures
- France vs. Austria (EURO 2024 Qualifier): 15 November 2023 - Final card count: 3 - Referee's seasonal average: 3.1 cards - Match context: No major stakes, leading to fewer fouls
Key Tips and Tools for Tracking Under 5.5 Cards
- Consult official referee appointment and statistics ahead of each fixture.
- Stay updated with daily match results and card totals through specialized websites and sports analytics apps.
- Use databases like Whoscored, Flashscore, or Bet365 for real-time card stats and in-play betting opportunities.
- Set notifications for late injury news which could change match dynamics or discipline.
Conclusion: Why Under 5.5 Cards Remains a Top Football Bet
The "Under 5.5 Cards" market offers a consistent value opportunity for savvy football bettors, especially those who closely follow referee assignments, team discipline, and competition intensity. With modern football trending toward cleaner play and stricter league guidelines for fouls, the statistical advantage in this market remains high—provided you stay informed with daily updates and hone your analytical approach.
