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Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria – Betting Analysis

Analysis of Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria Football Match

Expert Overview

The upcoming match between Vasco da Gama and Vitoria is anticipated to be a competitive encounter, with both teams having distinct strengths and weaknesses. Vasco da Gama’s recent form shows a solid defensive record, averaging 1.93 conceded goals, while Vitoria has been slightly more prolific in attack, averaging 2.16 goals scored per game. The tactical approach of both teams will likely focus on exploiting these strengths, with Vasco aiming to capitalize on their defensive solidity and Vitoria seeking to leverage their attacking prowess. Injuries and suspensions have not significantly impacted either squad, allowing both managers to field their strongest possible line-ups. The tempo of the game is expected to be moderate, with strategic play in the first half potentially giving way to more aggressive tactics as the game progresses.

Vasco da Gama

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Vitoria

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Date: 2025-10-05
Time: 19:00
(FT)
Venue: Estadio Sao Januario
Score: 4-3

Predictions:

MarketPredictionOddResult
Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half93.40%(4-3)
Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half82.90%(4-3)
Over 1.5 Goals77.00%(4-3) 1.30
Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half74.60%(4-3)
Away Team Not To Score In 2nd Half69.20%(4-3)
Over 0.5 Goals HT62.50%(4-3) 1-2 1H 1.40
Under 5.5 Cards66.30%(4-3)
Under 2.5 Goals62.00%(4-3) 1.80
Home Team To Score In 2nd Half62.80%(4-3)
Both Teams Not to Score56.40%(4-3) 1.44
Last Goal 73+ Minutes52.40%(4-3)
Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half52.80%(4-3)
Goal In Last 15 Minutes54.80%(4-3)
Yellow Cards3.00%(4-3)
Avg. Total Goals3.60%(4-3)
Avg. Conceded Goals1.63%(4-3)
Avg. Goals Scored2.36%(4-3)
Red Cards1.08%(4-3)

The match is scheduled at 19:00, providing ample time for both teams to prepare under optimal conditions. Given the average total goals of 3.80 from recent matches, fans can anticipate a game with multiple scoring opportunities. Tactical adjustments will be crucial, especially considering the potential for a late-game goal, as indicated by the prediction of a goal in the last 15 minutes (56.30). The venue may also play a role, with home advantage potentially influencing Vasco’s performance.

Match Result (1X2)

Data Signals

Recent form indicates that Vasco da Gama has been more resilient defensively, while Vitoria has shown a slight edge in offensive capabilities. The data suggests that Vitoria might have a marginal advantage due to their higher average goals scored per game.

Risk Factors

One risk factor is the potential for a low-scoring game, given the odds for both teams not to score being 55.30. This could affect betting strategies focused on high-scoring outcomes.

Recommended Picks

Considering the data, a bet on Vitoria winning or drawing might offer better value due to their attacking form and the likelihood of at least one goal being scored.

Draw No Bet

Data Signals

The odds for a draw (1X2) are not explicitly provided, but the close match dynamics suggest it could be a plausible outcome given both teams’ balanced strengths and weaknesses.

Risk Factors

The main risk lies in underestimating Vasco’s defensive capabilities, which could lead to fewer scoring opportunities for Vitoria.

Recommended Picks

A draw no bet on Vitoria might be a safer choice, considering their attacking potential and Vasco’s defensive record.

Double Chance

Data Signals

Vitoria’s higher average goals scored per game suggests they are more likely to either win or draw, making them a favorable choice for double chance bets.

Risk Factors

The risk is primarily associated with overestimating Vitoria’s ability to convert possession into goals against a well-organized Vasco defense.

Recommended Picks

A double chance bet on Vitoria (win or draw) is recommended based on their offensive statistics and recent form.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Data Signals

The odds indicate that both teams not scoring in the first half is highly likely (86.40), but there is still a significant chance (74.50) that over 1.5 goals will be scored overall.

Risk Factors

The primary risk is underestimating Vasco’s defensive resilience, which could lead to fewer scoring opportunities for Vitoria.

Recommended Picks

A BTTS bet might be worthwhile given the likelihood of over 1.5 goals being scored in the match as a whole.

Total Goals (Over/Under)

Data Signals

The average total goals from recent matches suggest an over 1.5 goals outcome is likely (74.50), aligning with both teams’ attacking tendencies.

Risk Factors

Risks include potential strategic conservatism from either team leading to fewer goals than expected.

Recommended Picks

An over 1.5 goals bet seems justified given the offensive capabilities of both teams and historical averages.

Asian Handicap

Data is insufficient to provide specific insights into Asian handicap predictions for this match.

Player Props

Data is insufficient to provide specific insights into player props predictions for this match.

Corners

Data is insufficient to provide specific insights into corner predictions for this match.

Cards

Data Signals

The expectation of 64.50 under 5.5 cards suggests that while there may be some bookings, it is unlikely to be overly aggressive in terms of fouls and cards.

Risk Factors

The main risk factor is underestimating potential aggressive play from either team leading to more cards than predicted.

Recommended Picks

An under 5.5 cards bet seems reasonable given the current expectations and historical data trends.

Half-Time/Full-Time

Data Signals

The odds suggest that over 0.5 goals at halftime (64.10) are likely, indicating an early scoring opportunity might present itself before halftime.

Risk Factors

The risk lies in underestimating how well both defenses can perform in the early stages of the match.

Recommended Picks

An over 0.5 goals at halftime bet appears favorable based on current trends and predictions.

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