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Holmgren,August vs Ghibaudo, Antoine

Expert Overview

The upcoming match between August Holmgren and Antoine Ghibaudo promises to be an intriguing encounter. Holmgren, known for his aggressive baseline play, is expected to leverage his experience to dominate longer rallies. Ghibaudo, on the other hand, brings a tactical approach with a strong focus on net play. This contrast in styles sets the stage for a potentially dynamic match. Given the statistical predictions, there is a high probability of the match extending beyond three sets, as indicated by the 96.00% likelihood for “Under 3.5 Sets”.

Holmgren,August

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Ghibaudo, Antoine

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Date: 2025-08-07
Time: 21:35
(FT)
Venue: Chicago - Center Court
Score: 2-0

Predictions:

MarketPredictionOddResult
Under 3.5 Sets92.60%(2-0)
Over 1st Set Games67.90%(2-0) 6-4 1st Set 1.25
Under 1st Set Games55.80%(2-0) 6-4 1st Set 2.00
Tie Break in 1st Set (No)85.60%(2-0)
Tie Break in Match (No)74.90%(2-0)
Under 2.5 Sets72.30%(2-0)
Total Games 3-Way (Under 22)59.00%(2-0)
Total Games 2-Way (Under 22.5)54.30%(2-0) 1.80

Predictions: Set Dynamics

The prediction for “Over 1st Set Games” at 69.70% suggests that the first set is likely to be competitive, with neither player securing an early lead comfortably. Conversely, “Under 1st Set Games” at 54.50% indicates a reasonable chance that the set will be decided quickly, possibly due to one player gaining momentum early.

With “Tie Break in 1st Set (No)” at 85.40%, it’s anticipated that the first set will likely be decided in regular games rather than going to a tie-break, emphasizing the importance of maintaining consistency and minimizing unforced errors from the outset.

Predictions: Match Length

The odds for “Under 2.5 Sets” at 69.10% imply that while a quick two-set victory is possible, it is less likely compared to a longer match. This aligns with the prediction for “Under 3.5 Sets” at 96.00%, reinforcing expectations of a match that could extend into four sets.

“Tie Break in Match (No)” at 75.20% further supports the notion that decisive sets are more probable than tie-breakers determining the match outcome, suggesting both players will aim to secure outright victories in sets rather than relying on tie-breaks.

Predictions: Total Games

The forecasts for total games are particularly interesting, with “Total Games 3-Way (Under 22)” at 56.80% and “Total Games 2-Way (Under 22.5)” at 56.50%. These figures indicate a fairly even split in expectations regarding the total number of games played, hinting at a closely contested match where both players will have opportunities to capitalize on their strengths.

Overall, while Holmgren may have an edge due to his aggressive style and experience, Ghibaudo’s tactical acumen could pose significant challenges, making this match one to watch closely.

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